B&B:
Finding ourselves as now we do in the relative doldums of this fabulous presidential primary pageant, where exactly do we (i.e. they) stand?
Not where 95% of the MediaMob would have us believe.
Political Reality Check as follows:
The Dumocrats
For Mrs. Clinton this ain't no disco, this ain't no Mudd Club, this ain't no foolin' around, as de song say. I am not, yet, prepared to amend my 10 year old prescience ("Hillary Clinton will go directly from the White House to New York, where she will seek and win a US Senate seat, then seek and win the democrat nomination for President - and against whomever she runs, she will be the favorite, and likely become President" - Me, on Imus in the Morning, 1998) - but I am quire ready to say to Mrs. Clinton: Be Afraid. Be Very Afraid.
Yes, indeed, for the first time in her life, Satan faces plausible crushing defeat. Here's why:
It is not that 0-bama has more won more votes, states, and delegates, though he has; it is not that he has won eight - count 'em - eight contests in a row; it is not that 0-bama will in a few days likely win the key presidential swing state of Wisconsin, though he probably shall.
It is that last night's election results (Maryland, Virginia) indicate 0-bama for the first time stealing Clinton's base: Whites (he got more than half), Hispanics (he got more than half) and - are you sitting down....on a super-strong chair....Mrs. Clinton? - WOMEN (he got half of white women).
0-bama is winning Whites, Hispanics, and Women?
This stunning fact is either (a) an aberration, a freak occurence (b) a trend.
If it is the latter, Hillary, Say Goodnight to Hollywooooood!
Every - and in Every - single scenario whereby Clinton wins this thing is her supposed greater appeal to Whites in general, White Women in particular, and Hispanics across the board.
If 0-bama has, in fact, cracked into that vote vault, he is unstoppable.
Next Tuesday will not be dispositive, but Texas Tuesday (and 0-bama Ohio?) will be.
March 4: the date Hillary Clinton will see her political X-rays.
And if she doesn't see in that crucial photograph a strong majority of her base voters, Mrs. Clinton is best advised to Get Her Affairs In Order.
(Bill already has His Affairs quite in order.)
Excelsior!
JS
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
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