Monday, October 6, 2008

New Blog

You can now read The Jayly News at this address http://www.wtkk.biz/blogs/jayseverin.

Friday, September 5, 2008

McCAIN BOMBS

JAYLY NEWS.........Friday a.m.


Were Sarah Palin a broadway show she'd be My Fair Lady, and you couldn't get a ticket - she would, after her opening night, be Sold Out.

Were John McCain a broadway show he'd be Death of a Salesman, and you couldn't get a ticket - because, after his opening night, he would be Closed.

John McCain's speech was poorly written, poorly delivered and largely poorly received - a snoozer, a bore, a bomb, REM TV.
Had it not been for the Enthusiasm Momentum carried over from Palin's speech, all in that convention hall would have in a coma. (And P.S.: the wild - virtually only - appaluse, in the final 60 seconds, was obviously choreographed in advance - it had Noting to do with what McCain was saying. Watch the clip; it is painful.)

Imagine if now, with the Palin Convention behind them, all they had to offer was The John McCain Show? The only way to sell it would be "Survivor 2008: Can McCain Tread Water for 61 Days and Live?"

Republicans must know this.

NOW see how inspired - and necessary - a pick was Sarah Palin?

She is a Life-Preserver for McCain.
The question is whether she can be a Life-Saver.


Excelsior!

JS

Thursday, September 4, 2008

THE CLINTON CONUNDRUM

JAYLY NEWS....Thursday p.m.

The Sarah Palin nuclear Fall-out extends even to the Clintons.

Operating under the ironclad assumption that Hillary has already taken aim at 2012, what does she do?

B.P. (Before Palin), Clinton was preparing to sabotage Obama, her surest way to the 2012 Dem nomination.

But now, an Obama loss puts Sarah Palin, in theory, in the White House for up to 16 years.

Conversely, if Hillary works to help Obama win, then she must line up again, in theory, matched directly against a prospective Sarah Palin presidential candidacy in 2012.

So what's a Lady Socialist to do?

My guess: stick with plotting an Obama loss, providing Clinton her quickest potential route to another presidential candidacy.

JS

THREE FACTORS THAT MATTER

JAYLY NEWS....Thursday p.m.

For your consideration:


(1) The principal reason the delegates - and others of us patriotic - are so jazzed by last night's convention events is that, as Pat Buchanan said on MSDNC, "WE NOW HAVE ONE OF OUR OWN UP THERE."

Plus: those in-Obama's-face speeches by Mitt, Rudy and Sarah were DEEPLY PARTISAN, ATTACKING OBAMA/BASIC LIBERAL PREMISES, AND DEFENDING CONSERVATIVE VALUES.

Its about time.


(2) As presented here one week ago...As we enjoy Sarah Palin, be aware of one great irony: IT IS OBAMA HIMSELF (by failing to choose Hillary) WHO MADE SARAH PALIN POSSIBLE.
OBAMA PICKED SARAH PALIN - and now is threatened by his own hand.

(3) The left-wing media (i.e. all of it but talk radio) have declared all-out Nuclear War on the Repubs and McCain ticket.
THERE ARE NO MORE RULES OF MEDIA ENGAGEMENT: THE NEW STANDARD OF JOURNALISM IS DEVOID OF OBJECTIVITY...THE NEW NEWS STANDARD IS MSNBC (i.e. no standard).

Excelsior!

JS


SARAH OR MITT?.

JAYLE NEWS.....THURSDAY p.m.

Here's one thing about Sarah Palin I don't like so much.
And, if you are a Mitt Romney fan, as I am, you won't like it either.

It kills me to think this, let alone have to talk about it, but here it is:
With the overnight emergence of Sarah Palin as a conservative darling, who is now likely to be the favorite for the next Republican nomination, Mitt or Sarah?

Consider: if McCain wins, Sarah Palin is Vice President, for one or two terms. Is it not logical when the big seat opens up, she will go for it? Would she not by definition be the favorite?

If McCain loses, Sarah Palin is not Vice President - but she becomes, almost automatically, a 2012 favorite, right?

Point being, Win or Lose, is not Sarah Palin likely to be in a position - at least equal to Mitt - to claim "favorite" status for the next Republican campaign?

No Question: The Question for us Mitt loyalists is just how profoundly will McCain's selection of Sarah Palin impact our guy's national political stock?

JS




SARAH PALIN'S OPENING NIGHT

JAYLY NEWS.......Thursday a.m.

First thing First: as a prominent show business agent said in reviewing Sarah Palin's performance Wednesday evening, "SHE CRUSHED!"
And truly she did.

But even more enjoyable than Palin's mastery of stage last night was the hilarious glumness and nastiness of the reactions by virtually all the "journalists" on TV: Keith Olberwellian, Chrissy Matthews, Gene Obama Robertson, Rachel Mad-Ow, et. al. all looked and sounded like children who had just lost their best friend.
And maybe they have: little Barack.

"SHE WAS MEAN!"
"SHE WAS NASTY!"
"SHE WAS SARCASTIC!"
"SHE WAS NEGATIVE!"

Exactly.

Translation: she was EFFECTIVE.

Sarah Palin obviously has Democrats scared to death - the most compelling evidence she was a good choice.

However...now comes the hard part: Sarah Palin must now face the Media Assasins without a script, teleprompter, and protection. She will be out there on her own, cross-examined by hardened media killers - every one of whom is seeking a career-making opportunity to be the one who brings her down in flames.

This is why it will take circa 10 days more to know how Sarah Palin truly plays: the first round of post-convention polling, plus her first round of full-contact scrimmages with her sworn blood enemies (MSNBC, CNN, Boston Globe, NY Times, Wash Post, CBS, ABC, et. al.)

That said though, Sarah Palin's Opening Night was a Smash...in the face of Democrats.

Excelsior!

JS

Wednesday, September 3, 2008

"DOES SARAH HAVE WHAT IT TAKES?"

JAYLY NEWS............

"GOLLY, DOES SARAH PALIN HAVE WHAT IT TAKES TO BE VP?"

This is the mightily disingenuous question the media are asking - after several days of Hammering Sarah Palin and her 17 year old daughter, family, etc.

As previously stated in this space, the personal smear by Obama/Dems vs. Palin is unprecedented - and designed to place stress on her such that she makes a mistake, cries, has an outburst, etc.

Imagine the WorldWide Media smearing your child - and You unable to do anything about it?

Then, under extraordinary stress and fatigue with the eys of the world upon this young mother, she ascends the stage tonight.

WHILE THOSE WHO ARE DOING THIS TO HER SMILE AND ASK
"GOLLY, DOES SARAH PALIN HAVE WHAT IT TAKES?".

JOURNALISTS.
RHYMES WITH "WHORES".


JS

WHAT THE DEMS ARE DOING/NEXT

JAYLY NEWS....Tuesday 2:00p

The Obama/Dem smear attack against Sarah Palin has several objectives, including:

1. Smother and kill any positive McCain message emerging from Repub convention.

2. Build stress on Sarah Palin such that she cracks (cries, makes an outburst, loses temper, etc.).

3. (Ready to know the future?) Create and sustain such negative media chaos surrounding Sarah Palin that Obama/Dems can change message to: "Palin has become such a major negative distraction from the issues and this important campaign that for the good of the country and her party she ought to withdraw, or McCain must ask her to step down from ticket."


PREDICTION: OBAMA CAMPAIGN/DEMS WILL USE AS REASON THAT PALIN SHOULD WITHDRAW THE CHARACTER ASSASINATION AND MEDIA DISTRACTION THEY THEMSELVES CHOREOGRAPHED, EXACTLY TO THIS PURPOSE...AND "JOURNALISTS" (rhymes with "whores") WILL CEASELESSLY PRINT AND BROADCAST THE EXTORTION NOTE.


JS

MSNBC EMPLOYS NAZI SYMPATHIZER?

JAYLY NEWS.....Wednesday 11:30a

There has never, Never, in the history of American politics, been a national smear campaign like that now being run against Governor Sarah Palin by the Barack Obama campaign and others of the American Communist Movement.

The latest and most appalling form this has taken is the assertion by the Obama campaign that "Sarah Pain supported a Nazi Sympathizer".

The "Nazi Sympathizer" in question is, evidently, political icon/two-time candidate for President of the United States/author/journalist Patrick J. Buchanan (* full disclosure: proudly, a good friend and former client of mine).

As Mr. Buchanan's most visible work of the moment is a senior on-air political analyst for MSNBC, the pressing question is:

DOES MSNBC EMPLOY AN ON-AIR NAZI SYMPATHIZER?
CHRIS MATTHEWS AND KEITH OLBERMAN HAVE A NAZI SYMPATHIZER ON THEIR PROGRAMS EVERY NIGHT?

IF NOT, IS NOT MSNBC OBLIGATED OUT OF BASIC DECENCY TO STATE PAT BUCHANAN IS NOT SO?

MSNBC: PUT UP OR SHUT UP.

Excelsior!

JS

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

McCAIN'S "CHANGE" OFFENSIVE

THE JAYLY NEWS....Tuesday p.m.


"Change", thy name(s) art McCain/Palin!

Behold the brilliant jiu-jitsu the Republican ticket is fashioning:

America wants Change.
Obama offers Change - but SCARY, RADICAL CHANGE (see: William Ayers, Rev Wright, Miclehe Obama, et. al.).
Sensing this, McCain - already well established as Maverick (pre-Change Change), brings onto the stage Sarah Palin, a reformer, a Mom, a hunter, a real Feminist.
Everything about McCain-Palin says Change, as in "Reform".
Obama stills says Change, as in "Revolution".
McCain, co-opting Change - right our from under Obama's turned-up nose.

Which Change do you believe will capture 51% of the vote (in America)?

62 Days is From Here To Eternity.
But this Change just might work.


Excelsior!
JS







THE MEDIA'S QUINTUPLE BYPASS STANDARD

THE JAYLY NEWS


N.B. The John Edwards adultery story circulated prominently for more than one year on the web and in supermarket tabloids.
Though demonstrably true, Edwards personal, extra-curricular sex life was, during this entire period, ajudged to fall outside (i.e. "below") the standards and baliwick of "Journalism".

Conversely, the demure accusation that Governor Sarah Palin's new baby had - by way of a monstrous deceit - been borne by her own daughter went from Left Wing Blog to CNN Prime Time in hours.

Journalist, heal thyself!



Excelsior!

JS

CAMPAIGN BY THE NUMBERS

JAYLY NEWS...Monday Sept 2

As this fight heads into the final 62 days, consider two sets of numbers (both previously presented here):

1. SIZE MATTERS.

In 40 years, no Dem has emerged from his convention with a Poll Bounce smaller than 16 points (and as high as 30).

Obama's, at 8, is half the smallest-ever...hence Obama has set a modern record for post-convention bounce, DOWNWARD.

2. NOT LIBERAL

The most recent reputable national polling on the fundamental political attitudes of American voters asks them "Do you consider yourself Somewhat or Very Liberal, Somewhat or Very Conservative, or Moderate?"

Result:
"Moderate" 2%
"Liberal" 34%
"Conservative" 62%

U.S. VOTERS, SELF-DESCRIBED "CONSERVATIVE" BY 2-1.

(This is why the Dem argument "more people are registering as Dems than as Repubs" is virtually insignificant.)

Excelsior!

JS

Monday, September 1, 2008

FOUR CANDIDATES AND A BABY

JAYLY NEWS....Labor (unions are the mafia) Day

The Palin Baby News will not hurt McCain ticket - especially if, as reported this p.m., the McCain campaign had advance knowledge of the pregnancy, and chose Sarah Palin despite this blemish.

Palin's decision to have her Down's Syndrome child combined with the Palin daughter's decision to marry her boyfriend and have this child far outweighs the "moral outrage" on the part of a very few religious zealots.

Plus: a high school senior couple marrying - and even having a child - is not a rarity in much of Alaska - indeed, in much of "fly-over country".

Dems will overplay this and suffer backlash.

Gov Palin may yet cause McCain to regret this choice...but not today.


Excelsior!

JS

EXPERIENCE: ADVANTAGE REPUBLICANS

JAYLY NEWS....Labor (unions are extortion rackets) Day


THERE IS NO RATIONAL QUESTION
THAT GOVERNOR SARAH PALIN
IS FAR BETTER QUALIFIED
TO BE PRESIDENT
THAN IS OBAMA.

And Palin is only running for VICE President.

Experience?
Game, Set, Match, McCain Ticket.



Excelsior!

JS

HURRICANE POLITICS

JAYLY NEWS....Labor (unions are organized crime) Day Edition

HURRICANE POLITICS

1. MEDIA: Is there really anything TV, esp Cable TV, loves More, esp on a low-viewership holiday weekend, than the prospect of extraordinary WEATHER?
KILLER STORMS? KATRINA II!!!!!
Lucy Liu just out of the shower doesn't look as good to me as that swirling hurricane eye graphic does to MSNBC.

And, as is so often the case, this one appears a Bust.
So far (as of Monday morning) it is - HOLD ON -----
WINDY AND RAINY IN NEW ORLEANS!!! YIKES!!

The coverage - esp on MSNBC - is ludicrous: Anchor David Shuster (to reporter on scene) "Are you seeing any debris?" "YES! I SEE SOME GARBAGE CANS BLOWING INTO THE STREET! AND A PIECE OF CLOTH RIPPED OFF A SIGN!!!! (This dialogue actually occurred 8:30a Monday)

It is hilarious watching cable - esp MSNBC - struggle to make a rainy day into A KILLER HURRICANE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

2. Dems v Repubs:

New Orleans is totally evacuated and organized chiefly because a REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR is in (competent) charge this time, as opposed to Democrat BOO-HOO BLANCO.

Idiot Mayor Ray Nagin (who was all over Ntl TV predicting a "Category Five Storm of the Century") has someone to follow, as he is incapable of leading anything. If this imbecile had evacuated his citizens last time, he would have saved thousands of lives----and NOBODY IS HOLDING HIM THE LEAST BIT RESPONSIBLE FOR IT, not even a mention.

Mayor Nagin's warning, flashed around the world (I heard it on BBC from London) included the statesman-like admonition to New Orleans' residents that they "GET THEIR BUTTS OUT OF HERE".
This, I know, is cute, down-home, "keeping it real" to some.
To civilized persons, such language by a public official under these circumstances is compelling evidence of the degradation of American politics in general, and the fact Ray "Duh" Nagin is an ill-bred moron in particular.

3. Repub Convention

By greatly curtailing convention activities Monday, the Repubs will score points for demonstrating respectful deference to prospective "Victims of Gustav" (i.e. several people will get wet shoes)....and deftly get out of having Bush & Cheney appear at/associated with the convention and the McCain ticket - the one thing Dems most needed to have come out of Minnea-noplace.

4. Hurricane Sarah

You want MAJOR STORM?
SARAH PALIN IS A MAJOR STORM: HURRICANE SARAH!
There will almost certainly be major damage from Hurricane Sarah - damage to Obama.


Sunday, August 31, 2008

GUSTAV REPUBLICAN BLESSING IN DISGUISE?

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

So, add to the list of calamitous republican misfortunes hurricane Gustav - disrupting their national convention, reminding people of Katrina - right?

Not so fast.

Consider this: the Dems consistently strongest indictment against McCain - he represents "Bush's 3rd term"..."too close to Bush/Cheney", etc.

And this kiss-of-death political relationship could not but be underscored and magnified by President Bush and VP Cheney scheduled appearances at the Republican Ntl Convention.

Damning Dilemma for the republicans: you can't live (i.e. win) with Bush & Cheney, but neither can you live without (i.e. disinvite) them at this week's national convention.

Enter Gustav!

This Meteorlogical Marvel strikes with timing such that the Republicans certainly cannot safely indulge in the usual silly convention conventions, right?

Too bad for the Republicans?

A BLESSING FOR THE REPUBLICANS.

Now, the one thing John McCain needed but couldn't have openly wished for (and could never have attempted to pull off) - both Bush & Cheney Not appearing at the RNC - is going to happen...instead a touchy-feely tribute to the hurricane victims...and the McCain and the Republian Party will look good and humane and hurricane-sensitive in the bargain!

And thus does John McCain, his new running mate, and his party get to present to the nation the face they party they Wish to send - not the one the apperance of Bush & Cheney would box them into sending.

Any weeping being done by Republican Strategists over the loss of Bush & Cheney is Louisanna-specific: CROCODILE TEARS!

Excelsior!

JS

Now

Saturday, August 30, 2008

CHRIS MATTHEWS LOSES IT

JAYLY NEWS SATURDAY AUG 30

The most compelling evidence John McCain's choice of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin greatly worries Democrats is observing various members of the liberal news media go totally over the edge.

I don't mean merely transparently and grotesquely biased - we see that every day, most especially on MSNBC: Mika Brezhinski (obvioulsy the dumbest human being ever to appear on television, including animal stories), Chris Matthews and the undisputed king of cable TV whackos, Keith Olberwellian have long-abandoned any pretense of objectivity, professional bearing, fairness and, with it, Journalism.

No, I mean stark, raving mad. I mean when like watching a car wreck. Like you can't believe what you've just seen.

Such was the case last evening (Friday Aug 29) when on MSNBC Chris Matthews gave Olberman a real run for the Joe McCarthy/Howard Beal award by becoming literally apoplectic at the news of Sarah Palin.

Viewers must earnestly have thought Matthews was almost surely suffering a stroke: his eyes were poppping out of his fat head, his face was not just red but impurpled, spittle was forming in the corners of his mouth, and there wasn't a trace of irony or humor in his vindictive tirade.

I mean, I know Matthews has just said "to hell with my critics" (for admitting to his being totally in the bag for Obama)...but Chris Matthews acted like a crazy man.

Then it got worse (i.e. Really Good).

After wildly screeching his objections to Sarah Palins resume, John McCain's nefarious motives and the general evilness of Republicans, Matthews spewed at his GUEST AND COLLEAGUE (and a man superior to Matthews in terms of intellect, expertise, poliical knowledge and, now obviously, breeding) Pat Buchanan the single most ugly, personal, insulting attack on another person I have ever witnessed on television. (And I am a veteran TV talking head, having made hundreds of appearances with friend and mostly foe, mostly on MSNBC.)

The thesis, as it were, of Matthews' rant was "how is it POSSIBLE someone could be even CONSIDERED for high office if she had once SUPPORTED PAT BUCHANAN?!" (Full disclosure: I workred for Pat Buchanan off and on for years, including his Presidential campaigns.)

Matthews, glowering at an incredulous Buchanan - who could clearly see the host had vacated his faculties - said "YOU MEAN SARAH PALIN COULD BE PICKED EVEN AFTER SUPPORTING THE WORST OF PAT BUCHANAN?!" (A reference to PB's controversial and magnificent convention speech.) This to Mr. Buchanan's face - again, a day-to-day MSNBC colleague, respected author, political figure and former candidate for President of the United States.

Matthews' seizure continued for the entirety of the show. When at the end Pat Buchanan asserted that Sarah Palin's pro-life postion would be a political asset in many areas of the country (this issue and statement seeming to drive Matthews to a glorious new level of screaming, wild-eyed, foaming madness) the host responded like a troubled child "OH YEAH?! YOU JUST GO AND TRY THAT UP WHERE I LIVE AND SEE WHERE IT GETS YOU!"

Maybe poor Chris - whom I've met, and whose work I once admired - simply cannot withstand the mental strain of being dominated and punched around like a skinny cousin on-air by the paranoid bully Olberman.

But let the record show - and the timeless video prove - that on Friday night, August 29, 7-8 p.m., with his hideously inappropriate and ugly personal attack on a colleague, Chris Matthews achieved the truly impressive: he sunk to the lowest level of any host in cable television history.

Perfect for who Chris Matthews - and MSBNC - has become.

Jay Severin






Friday, August 29, 2008

GURU JAY DOES IT AGAIN

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

AS PREDICTED IN THIS SPACE, AND ON THE AIR:

"The political physics of McCain's VP choice require he use it to galvanize his conservative/Republican base."

"...but I do not believe he wants to pick Mit Romney."

Sara Pallin is a very risky choice.
She cannot be seriously considered qualified to be Commander-in-Chief...and thus reomves totally the Inexperience attack v. Obama. Could that cost McCain the election?
Will she make rookie mistakes in the national campaign/media that doom McCain's credibility and electability?

The one prospective upside is that Pallin's conservative beliefs will galvanize the Repub base fr McCain-----and maybe, maybe, attract some Ind and even a few Dem women alienated by the Hilary disappointment?

This is the biggest, most dynamic VP choice in modern American history.

THE QUESTION IS WHETHER PALLIN WILL HELP McCAIN WIN.

Excelsior!

JS

MEDIA, HEAL THYSELF!

JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign


WELL, SO MUCH FOR THE DEM CONVENTION!

OBAMA WHO??!

Given the intensity and umbrage of the Media vis "a woman on the ticket" when it was Hillary Clinton, HOW WILL THEY TREAT THIS WOMAN (a Republican)?

Is A Woman On The Ticket still a good idea?

Media-wise: could this be a game-changer for McCain?


JS

DANGEROUS REPUBLICAN HYPOCRISY

SARA PALLIN?!
SARA PALLIN??!!

HOW CAN I CRITICIZE DEMOCRATS FOR CLAIMING BARACK OBAMA CAN BE COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF IN WARTIME, WHEN McCAIN PUTS UP A TEENAGED GIRL AS COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF?

IT IS A DANGEROUS GAMBLE AND AN INSULT TO ME THAT MY FAMILY WILL BE SAFE WITH A VP UNQUALIFIED TO BE COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF.
SARA MAY HELP HIM WIN - BUT SHE IS A BAD CHOICE FOR OUR SAFETY.

THIS IS HARRIET MYERS II.

JS

PALLIN = POLITICAL SUICIDE?

JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign

AS PREDICTED: THE MAVERICK LIVES....BUT JUST COMMITTED POLITICAL SUICIDE?

John McCain's pick, Sara Pallin, NOT READY TO BE COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF.

OBAMA'S INEXPERIENCE NO LONGER A FACTOR.

MITT ROMNEY WILL CERTAINLY SAY SOMETHING GRACIOUS, AND START PLOTTING HIS NEXT CAMPAIGN FOR PRESIDENT.

JS

McCAIN CUTS OWN THROAT?

JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign

FRIDAY 10:32a: JOHN McCAIN PICKS SARA PALLIN, 44, ALASKA GOVERNOR

Pallin may galvanize the Republican base - but as ONE YEAR AS ALASKA GOVERNOR, NO FOREIGN POLICY EXPERIENCE, AND FORMER MAYOR OF CITY OF 7,500, Pallin has just TAKEN OFF THE TABLE OBAMA'S INEXPERIENCE - McCAIN'S BIGGEST WEAPON AGAINST AND VOTERS BIGGEST DOUBT ABOUT OBAMA.

Good luck, Mr. McCain.

As far as I am concerned, you are on your own.
You won't get my vote.

Great Day for Obama.

Excelsior (not)

JS

NO MITT?!

AS OF 8:26a THIS (Friday) MORNING, NBC NEWS HAS REPORTED THAT NEITHER MITT ROMNEY NOR MINN GOV TIM PAWLENTY HAVE BEEN CHOSEN BY JOHN McCAIN AS RUNNING MATE.

JS

OBAMA = MIXED BLESSING

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

This is one of those days the establishment media all seem to running one story, all with the same words: How Proud We All Are That A Black Man Is A Candidate For President.

And it is true.
I am proud, as we all should be.
But it also behooves me as a white citizen to be Releived - because the crimes and legacy of slavery and racism prevented until 2008 a black man or woman being seriously considered for the Presidency.
So it's about time.

Meanwhile, this historic racial/cultural nature of this momentus event is in danger of papering-over a crucial fact: the USA has finally nominated a black man - BUT NOT A QUALIFIED ONE.

The day to rruly celebrate will be when a black man or woman ACTUALLY QUALIFIED TO BE PRESIDENT is nominated.

Barack Hussein Obama is not.

So celebrate, by all means.
But the fact is, Obama's is, in effect, largely a racial token candidacy.

Excelsior!

JS







Thursday, August 28, 2008

McCAIN VP UPDATE (Thursday 11:45 A.M.)

APPEARING ON THE MICHAEL GRAHAM SHOW THIS MORNING, A BOSTON HERALD COLUMNIST REPORTS HER SOURCES WITHIN MCCAIN CAMPAIGN POINT TO CHOICE OF MINNESOTA GOVERNOR TIM PAWLENTY.

(IF TRUE, A DISASTER.)

js

CHOOSING MITT, NOT CHOOSING MITT

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

John McCain has reportedly chosen his running mate and will announce it tomorrow. It will leak today.

Is it Mitt Romney?
I hope so, and if you don't want President Obama, you'd better hope so, too - because if McCain does not choose Mitt, McCain loses.

All the political physics dictate the Romney choice.
I have said all along that I was not alone in my position that I will vote for McCain Only if Mitt is his running mate.
And now, confirmation of how unalone I am: internal McCain polling shows that of all people he is considering for VP, Mitt Romney attracts the most votes.
In fact the polling shows a McCain ticket including Romney makes ONE OUT OF FIVE VOTERS MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR McCAIN - ACROSS PARTY LINES!
(Nobody else scores like this.)

Thus there is every compelling political reason (not to mention the future of the Republican party) to pick Mitt - but most compelling of all, MITT GETS YOU ELECTED.

BUT.....BUT....I don't trust McCain's political judgement, and I know his political
loyalty is worse than non-existent.
I believe McCain is thin-skinned and hasn't forgiven Mitt for challenging him during he primary. McCain is a liberal and wants another liberal on the ticket - like Lieberman!
A big part of my instinct - and McCain's words in the past few days - discourage me in believing it is Mitt. I dearly hope I am wrong.
A bi part of me knows McCain wants to produce an 'out-of-the-box' choice - like a woman, maybe even pro-choice woman.
<:AtomicElement>If he does, he will lose, and richly deserve to.
<:AtomicElement>
P.S. In observing how Obama hurt himself by not merely failing to pick Hillary, but by being seen as treatung her disrespectfully, thus alienating/angering her suporters?
Well, Mitt Romney has been all over the map and out in Denver this week - right up until last night - defending John McCain on TV and elsewhere, really putting himself on the line for McCain.
Now, if McCain knows he isn't going to choose Romney, you would think he'd have a staff member place a telephone call - out of profesional courtesy and common decency - telling Mitt "hey, we appreciate what you are doing...but don't do it for us, if you know what we mean."
This way, if Mitt is not picked, at least he doesn't look bad, soldiering out there for McCain until the 11th hour, only to have someone else chosen.

Thus, if it isn't Mitt, McCain will lose millions of votes for political reasons - and millions more because we Romney suporters will be offended by how Mitt was treated at the end.

That said: I am counting on John McCain's wanting to win.
That requires picking a winner, someone who gets you the win: Mitt Romney.

Excelsior!

JS



CHOOSING MITT, NOT CHOOSING MITT

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

DEMS DISCONTENTED in DENVER

JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign

Pursuant to my previous post ("Dem Conv Bust"), the most significant phenomena in Denver are the Nature and sheer Volume of the VOCAL DISCONTENT among Dem Delegates, Dem Super-Delegates, Dem office-holders and Dem Strategy Big-Wigs, like James Carville.

Thus far, the Only universal theme of this convention is the complaint by Dems that the convention is a mess without a message.

This is remarkable for the facts that these Dems are complaining, complaining bitterly, complaining publicly - and It is Being Reported in the Media - despite the grotesque pro-Obama bias of the TV networks (esp MSDNC).

IN FACT, THREE DAYS INTO THIS CRUCIAL CONVENTION, THE SINGLE BIGGEST STORY IS THE ANGER, UNHAPPINESS, AND PESSIMISM OF THE DEMOCRATS IN DENVER.

Not the story-line for which they had hoped.

Post Script:
Who's speaking tonight for the Dems?
Right: Bill Clinton!
(...oh - but also a guy named Biden...you know....only the VP candidate....)
"CLINTONS STEAL SHOW, OBAMA LOSES."

Excelsior!

JS



DEM CONVENTION A BUST

I can now, after only two days, safely declare the Democrat Ntl Convention a failure, a total flop.

How?
Why?

Because the purpose of the convention is (was) singular: GET PEOPLE WHO WEREN'T VOTING FOR OBAMA TO VOTE FOR OBAMA.

Because night two was great for Hillary Clinton, but a zero for Obama.

Because when this collection of left wing freaks - whose major mode of transportation is obviously the short bus with wire-covered windows - gets flushed out of Denver Friday, the only things people will be talking about will be
(1) Hillary Clinton's speech
(2) Bill Clinton's speech
(3) How many Hillary voters won't vote for Obama
(4) McCain's VP pick.

Obama's speech (how I hope there is a tornado) tomorrow evening will be another Berlin Rock Show, but he already has celebrity.
What he needs is votes.
White working class votes in Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Indiana, et. al.
And Thursday's Obama Rock Concert may excite the crowd in the stadium in Denver - but it won't win votes in the mid-west.

Could it be the Democrats are yet again committing political suicide?

Only if there is a God.

Excelsior!
JS

HILLARY SCORES...FOR HILLARY.

JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign

As predicted here and on-air yesterday, what we saw last night in Denver was the first event of the Hillary Clinton for President Campaign, 2012.

Virtually All news media got this wrong: the False premise is that Hillary's task last night at the DNC was to "create unity".
As if!
Hillary Clinton makes a speech without a selfish agenda like Bill Clinton isn't dating.
Hillary's actual task was to show off, make Dems think "we could have has her" and otherwise, along with her first-elected-President-in-the-history-of-the-USA-to-be-impeached husband who speaks tonight, to overshadow the party's candidate.
Hillary as up on that stage to Feign unity, while seeking the best location to place the stiletto in Obama's back, as soon as possible, while keeping her fat fingerprints off of it - and every other under-the-radar effort to sabotage Obama.

In keeping with this agenda, Hillary's speech as balanced: she mentioned the name Barack 2 times - balanced by 319 mentions of the personal pronouns "I" and "Me".

Hilary's style was, as usual, a tasteful, appealing hybrid of first wife PMS and Mussolini.

The media all say Hillary has "thrown her full weight behind Obama's candidacy". If that's true, Obama needs the Jaws of Life right about now.
In fact, Clinton's withdrawal from the campaign has caused the bottom (a Huge bottom) to drop out of the international pantsuit market.

Hillary scored last night - for Hillary.
If you expected anything else, you don't know Hillary - and/or weren't listening to me yesterday.

Excelsior!

JS

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

JAY ON IMUS: WEDNESDAY AUG 27, 6:30a

B+B:

I am pleased to declare I have again been accorded the privilege of invitation to appear on the Imus-in-the-Morning Show, tomorrow (Wed) morning, 6:30a.

JS

OBAMA'S BELIEFS, CONTINUED

Know this:

"BLACK THEOLOGY REFUSES TO ACCEPT A GOD WHO IS NOT IDENTIFIED TOTALLY WITH THE GOALS OF THE BLACK COMMUNITY.

IF GOD IS NOT FOR US AND AGAINST WHITE PEOPLE, THEN HE IS A MURDERER, AND WE HAD BETTER KILL HIM.

BLACK THEOLOGY ACCEPTS ONLY THE LOVE OF A GOD WHICH PARTICIPATES IN THE DESTRUCTION OF THE WHITE ENEMY."

- Black Liberation Theology, as cited by Rev Jeremiah Wright, Barack Obama's pastor, friend and spiritual advisor of 20 years, who married the Obamas, baptized their children, and the church Obama attended with his children, and financially supported for 20 years.

Then, there is Bill Ayers...


JS


DEMS LOST FIRST NIGHT

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

If the Dem Ntl Convention had been an Opening Night on Broadway, tonight would have been Closing Night.

A political party/platform/ticket with a lot of crucial lies to tell convincingly has only a few hours of national TV coverage in which to make their fraudulent sale. And last night they wasted the entire opening act.

Actually, "Zero" is a charitable assessment of the Monday Dem performance: if you don't win on any given (of only 4) nights, You Lose.

And you want Losers? Nancy Pelosi?! Teddy Communist?! JIMMY CARTER?!!
Tell me where to send the check - I will gladly pay to keep that kind of McCain commercial on the air.

The Democrats evidently have - yet again - forgotten: A SUCCESSFUL POLITICAL CONVENTION PLAYS NOT TO THE VOTERS YOU GOT - BUT TO THE VOTERS YOU MUST GET.

The Prime Democrat Strategy - failing miserably thus far - is to ATTRACT WHITE VOTERS.
THIS IS WHY OBAMA PICKED JOE BIDEN.

So now, on their opening night, the first opportunity to cash in on the Joe Biden strategy, instead of speaking to working and middle-class voters, Dems chose to put on a fraternity show for their own committed delegates in the convention hall, i.e. whacky, communist, losers.

IT DIDN'T PLAY IN PEORIA.

Thins are bound to get much hotter - and the stakes much higher - as the agenda includes Hillary Clinton, tonight, and Bill Clinton tomorrow, then YoBama on Thursday.

But with Repubs looming on Monday, the Dems had beetr stop squandering time hitting their target.

Hint, Dems: your target ain't Michelle O'Bama fans...it is Joe O'Biden fans.

Excelsior!

JS
That being the case,

CLINTON PSYCHO(DRAMA)

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign


Hillary Clinton still wants to be President.
The soonest she can do this is 2012.
Byt the soonest she can help make it happen is tonight.

Actually, Hillary cannot do it - "it" meaning sabotage Obama - herself, openly.
On this she will rely on her fanatics.
The only question is How Much Sour Grapes is Too Much Sour Grapes?

For Hillary to be President, ever, Obama must lose, now.
But Hillary cannot, a la the felonious Rose law firm criminal billing records, have her fat fingerprnts all over it.
So Hillary and Bill will use their powers in every way possible to hurt Obama's chances, help McCains.

But tonight, for Hillary herself, it will be all sweetness and loyalty and Unity.
"Obama must win and we must help him" she will say...as she ponders the most effective way to stick the big political knife in Obama's
back. And you thought Michelle Obama was a good actress Monday night?

The 2012 Clinton Presidential Campaign begins tonight.

Excelsior!

JS


BROADWAY MICHELLE OBAMA

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

Meet the new Witch, same as the old Witch.

Monday evening the lights burned brightly on Broadway, and in theaters all over the country where charming fantasies are acted out which last night included a stage in Denver, starring Michelle Obama - militant socialist, Black Liberation Theology racist, America-hater...oh, and sweet Mother, Wife, Sister.

That staged musical remake last night of "OBAM-OKLAHOMA!" was very well-produced, and totally phony. Nice script, Michelle, but we saw the original - we know how you really feel, about us, about your country.

We have seen this act before: then it was known as "Angela Davis".

The music was great, the lighting and make-up were fine - though there is still utterly no evidence to support every television anchor's breathless assertion that you are "gorgeous" - but when the act was over and you took your bow (wow), the facts are the facts: your husband's and your own beliefs and values are Unamerican and dangerous.

Thoughtful, patriotic people of both parties will write a review of your convention performance that says "a proud, monumental American moment - the first prospective African-American first lady"....but one who is not proud of her country. Who thought anyone could make us long for Hillary's patriotism?

Nice song and dance, Michelle.

Now get off the stage.


Excelsior!

JS

Monday, August 25, 2008

AS WE GO TO AIR, MONDAY...

JAYLY NEWS...AS WE GO TO AIR, MONDAY 8/25 2:00p


THE BIGGEST - NAY, EXISTENTIAL - CHALLENGE FOR THE DEMOCRAT PARTY
RIGHT NOW, TODAY, AT THIS CONVENTION (AND, AS USUAL) IS THE PROFOUND GAP BETWEEN THE BELIEFS/VALUES OF DEM DELEGATES AND THOSE OF AMERICAN VOTERS.

TODAY'S NY TIMES PROVIDES A GLIMPSE INTO THE ATTITUDES OF DEM CONV DELEGATES ON MAJOR ISSUES, I.E. VERY LEFT WING.

ALSO TODAY, THE RASMUSSEN POLL (one of the few reliable national surveys) REPORTS THAT, WHEN ASKED TO IDENTIFY THEMSELVES POLITICALLY, AMERICAN VOTERS SAY "SOMEWHAT OR VERY CONSERVATIVE = 60%", "MODERATE =2%" (that is not a misprint. that is 2 - and in t w o - %), "SOMEWHAT OR VERY LIBERAL = 36%..

CONSERVATIVE BY 2-1.
DEM DELEGATES OUT OF TOUCH BY 20-1.
THIS IS THE DEM CHALLENGE.
THIS IS AGAIN, ONE HOPES, THE DEM DOOM.

Excelsior!

JS



AS PREDICTED: CLINTONS BEGIN 2012 CAMPAIGN BY UNDERCUTTING OBAMA

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

The biggest, most damaging discord in the Dem party/Dem convention this week - and in this campaign - is between Obamaites and Hillary Clinton die-hards, who refuse to accept she lost and continue to complain, loudly.

Their principal complaint: Hillary wasn't even considered for VP - and Obama let the world know it, a slap in the face to the queen bee and her hive.

How much will they have to say this week?
How much will it hurt Obama?

Will this be the first modern nationalpolitical convention in American history that features hundreds of major delegates appearing on TV saying "I was for Hillary. I don't support Obama. I am not voting for him."?

This depends primarily on signals sent from Clinton(s) to their delegates: play nice - or raise hell?

A PROMINENT SOURCE (Politico.com) TODAY REPORTS THAT CLINTON(S) INTENTIONALLY "FANNED THE FLAMES" - OR AT LEAST DID NOTHING TO TAMP DOWN - THE ANGER OF HILLARY SUPPORTERS ENRAGED AT OBAMA'S VP SNUB.

So this tells us a lot about how animated (i.e. destructive) Hillary's most rabid fans intend to be in Denver.

So begins the 2012 Clinton Campaign - which necessarily starts with doing everything to make Obama Lose.

Excelsior!

JS

VINDICATION: UNNECESSARY..BUT SCHWEET

JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign

My time on and in media has coincided with Hillary Clinton's time in national politics. From the start, and for all this time, I have called her - in private and in public - exactly what all candid people call her: a Bitch.

In fact, I cannot imagine Anybody, Clinton friend and foe alike, honestly answering the following sentence "Hillary Clinton is a real ________." with a word other than "Bitch."

For this, I - and, perhaps, you - have been universally scorned. Various national media have quoted my calling Hillary Clinton a Bitch as proof that I am neither a serious political nor media commentator, but am surely an awful human being.

So, gee, imagine my delight (and absolutely zero surprise) when I read this morning the respected Roger Simon's (Politico.com) history of the Hillary Clinton Campaign. Fascinating stuff - including the news that "top Clinton campaign staffers" regularly referred to Hillary as A Bitch.

In fact, they adopted the unofficial campaign slogan "maybe she's a bitch because she's so competent!" True story.

Gotta go now - running out to buy the Boston Globe (et. al.), read my e-mail from NPR (et. al.), so I can see their apologies...and of course their stories damning the Top Clinton Staffers, her closest day-to-day associates, for regularly calling Hillary, as I always have, and do, A Bitch.

Schweet Vindication!

It's so fun being right.

Excelsior!

JS

Sunday, August 24, 2008

AL-QUEIDA IN 2012 OLYMPICS!

JAYLY NEWS.....On The Campaign

AS 2008 BEJING OLYMPICS CLOSE, AL-QUEIDA ANNOUNCES IT WILL SPONSOR ITS OWN OLYMPIC TEAM UNDER THE AL-QUEIDA FLAG IN LONDON, 2012 AN OLYMPIC TEAM OF "JIHADIST ISMALIC WARRIORS".

ASKED FOR COMMENT, BARACK OBAMA SAID TODAY "IF AL-QUEIDA FIELDS AN OLYMPIC TEAM, AMERICA MUST ACCEPT THAT, AND WE MUST TREAT THEM WITH THE RESPECT OF ANY OTHER NATIONAL TEAM, IN THE OLYMPIC SPIRIT."

(Okay, I made this up....but you found it believable, right?)


Exactly.

Excelsior!

JS

MISSING TIM RUSSERT

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

Meet the Press, R.I.P.

Did you see/hear it?

What a Digrace.

I know Tim Russert did not play Softball.
Tom Brokaw Does.

I know Tim Russert did not believe Meet the Press was a forum for televised sex acts.
Tom Brokaw Does.

Not since Monica Lewinsky last visited the Oval Office has one democrat serviced another like Brokaw did Caroline Kennedy - and on a Sunday morning, no less!.

It was embarrassing to watch, and an affront to the institution of Meet the Press, NBC News, Journalism, and the memory of Tim Russert - who always endeavored to honor those traditions.

Did Brokaw and Kennedy light up a cigarette after the "interview"?
Oh - wait - tobacco (as opposed to propaganda) is not allowed on television, right?

From Meet the Press to Press the Meat.


Excelsior!

JS

SUNDAY POINTERS

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

SUNDAY POINTERS:

1. "AS WHITE CATHOLICS GO..."

...So go American Presidential Elections, period.

THE MAJORITY WHITE CATHOLIC VOTE ALWAYS GOES WITH THE WINNER.

As of today, McCain is beating Obama among White Catholics by double digits, 12%.


2. ONLY HALF OF HILLARY CLINTON VOTERS SUPPORT OBAMA...AND ONE IN FIVE SAY OUTRIGHT THEY WILL VOTE FOR McCAIN.

If these numbers remain remotely similar, Obama can't win.


3. MITT HAPPENS?

As the Electoral Map sits today - and is most likely to remain - if McCain wins MICHIGAN he wins the election.

More than Any Candidate in either party, MITT ROMNEY is in a very strong position to deliver a state: MICHIGAN (and Michigan Democrats have already admitted this.)

For this and other key reasons, to win McCAIN MUST PICK ROMNEY!

4. DEM CONVENTION BOUNCE - OR BUST?

In forty years, no Dem has emerged from their national party convention with less than a 16 (and as high as 30) Point Bounce.

Watch this closely.

Excelsior!

JS

FIVE SLAM DUNK REASONS TO OPPOSE BIDEN

JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign

FIVE REASONS TO OPPOSE JOE BIDEN...AND OBAMA:

1. BIDEN WAS THE LEADER IN SMEARING JUDGE BORK AND ALL OTHER REPUBLICAN JUDGES.

2. BIDEN IS LAP DOG OF LABOR UNIONS, RADICAL WOMEN'S GROUPS.

3. BIDEN IS A KEY SUPPORTER OF QUOTAS, AFFIRMATIVE ACTION, AND OTHER RADICAL RACIAL POLICIES.

4. BIDEN SUPPORTS OPEN BORDERS, AMNESTY AND CITIZENSHIP FOR ALL ILLEGAL CRIMINAL ALIENS.

5. BIDEN IS ONE OF THE MOST CONSISTENTLY LEFT-WING LIBERAL MEMBERS OF CONGRESS, WHO SUPPORTS HIGHER TAXES AND BIGGER GOVERNMENT.

More coming....

Excelsior!

JTS

THE BIG MONDAY QUESTIONS

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

Here are the Big Questions as we head into Monday's Dem Convention:

* WHY DIDN'T OBAMA CHOOSE HILLARY? WHAY DID HE ANNOUNCE SHE WAS NEVER CONSIDERED? HOW DOES HE JUSTIFY REJECTING THE PERSON WITH 50% OF THE DEM VOTE, WHO COULD MOST HELP HIM WIN?

* WILL DEMS COME TOGETHER ON TICKET - OR WILL HILLARY'S HELLIONS HURT OBAMA? (floor demonstrations? attacks on Obama?)

* WHEN WILL HILLARY STRIKE (she makes a nice speech in a few days - then starts her 2012 Pres Campaign by doing all she can to make sure Obama loses.)

* WILL THE "RE-CREATE '68" PROTEST DO ANY DAMAGE, MAKE ANY NEWS? OR WILL IT, LIKE EVERYTHING ELSE, BE A CHEAP EMBARRASSING MODERN VERSION OF A REAL POLITICAL RIOT?

* WILL BIDEN SCREW UP AS SOON AS THIS WEEK'S CONVENTION?

* HOW SIGNIFICANT IS (AND WILL THE MEDIA IGNORE) THE LATEST WALL STREET JOURNAL POLL THAT ASKS & ANSWERS THE QUESTION:
Q: "WHO IS QUALIFIED TO BE COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF?"
A: McCAIN 53%, OBAMA 25% (?) (!)

More to follow, day + night, the next 70 days....

Excelsior!

JS

NEW YORK TIMES: BIDEN UNQUALIFIED TO BE PRESIDENT

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

Sunday Boston Globe Page 1 Headline: "Foreign Policy got Biden VP nod"

Sunday New York Times Page 1 Headline: "Obama Selects Biden, Adding Foreign Policy Expertise.."

TRANSLATION: BARACK OBAMA HAS NO FOREIGN POLICY EXPERIENCE , AND THUS IS UNQUALIFIED TO BE PRESDIDENT AND COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF - ESPECIALLY IN WARTIME AND INTERNATIONAL TERROR.

Obama's choice of Biden both proves and admits Obama needs to hire a "consultant" for the defense of the United States.

More coming...


Excelsior!

JTS



MEDIA OBAMA'S REAL RUNNING MATE

JAYLY NEWS....ON THE CAMPAIGN....

Liberals in and out of the Media have always been blind to the bias with which they report the news. It's our job to continue to see what they cannot - which will happen here every day of this campaign, and beyond, e.g.:

1. National Public Radio, Saturday, Aug 23, 4:00p hour:
"Barack Obama picked Sen Joe Biden to provide foreign policy experience some say Obama lacks."

"SOME"?
"SAY"?

Obama's foreign policy experience being entirely limited to twice having breakfasted in an International House of Pancakes, not SOME but ALL rational persons know this; and they do not SAY it but OBSERVE the FACT Obama has NO FOREIGN POLICY EXPERIENCE.

2. National Public Radio <+ Multiple Media> Sunday, Aug 24:

Joe Biden plagarized a speech by a British politician and, as a result, was forced to withdraw from the 1988 Pres campaign.

Reportedly, Biden had a few times credited the original speaker----but ususally did not, and certainly did not on the occasion he was caught and shamed from the race.

When NPR broadcasts the audio of Biden giving the infamous plagarized speech, guess which version they play?

That's right: the rare, honest, sanitized version in which Biden credits the source -NOT the speech that caused him scandal.

Orwell lives! (On NPR.)

Excelsior!

JTS





Saturday, August 23, 2008

HILLARY'S *REVENGE (*2012 Pres Campaign Strategy)

So here I am listening to my friend Michele McPhee, and she astutle wonders aloud "Will Hillary drop some bomb on Yo-Bomba in Denver?" Great Point.

Well, Hillary's Nuclear Midnight Revenge may or may not occur during next week's Dem Convention - but she will drop the Bomb(s).

Out of revenge? Perhaps.

But, more constructively (i.e. destructively), TO DESTORY YO-BAMA'S CHANCES IN NOVEMBER AND MAKE HERSELF THE LEAD DEM CANDIDATE FOR 2012!

You Know this is coming.
You Know Hillary has been plotting her 2012 Resurrection strategy for Weeks.
You know she isn't going away.
But, first, she needs to make sure Yo-Bama doesn't win in November.

YO-BOMBS AWAY!!!

Excelsior!

JTS

BIDEN: HILLARY NUCLEAR FALL-OUT?

Yo-Bama's Hillary problem over?

Think Hillary fan(atic)s will be mollified by Yo-Bama's Joe Biden pick?
Think again.

For weeks now, Clintonistes have known in their hearts that Hillary's chances at VP were poor to non-existent - but being pessimistic about it and actually being slapped in the face with it are different.

And slapped was Hillary: YO-BAMA NEVER EVEN CONSIDERED CLINTON...AND HIS CAMPAIGN TOLD EVERYBODY SHE WAS NEVER CONSIDERED!

How can we assume this plays with Hillary's dedicated brigadiers?

I assume they will be angry. Angry enough to jump ship, i.e. not vote for McCain, but take a walk, stay home on election day. Maybe even angry enough to make a nationally-televised fuss at the Dem convention?

Yo-Bama needs Hillary's supporters. And so he slapped her and them.

May they slap back hard.

Excelsior!

JTS







BIDEN BOTTOM LINE

B+B:

As well you might imagine, it is quite a challenge to maintain humility under these circumstances.

Yes, I nailed the BIDEN pick (last night with Michele McPhee, Friday a.m. on Imus, Thursday - one day prior to the NY Times - on this blog site, not to mention for the past several weeks on radio) AND the fact that Obama would leak it to NBC NEWS, prior to the great "insider text/e-mails" - to capture that network's huge Friday night Oylmpic audience.

In any case, if we've been together for a while, this is no surprise to you.

Here's the Biden Bottom Line:

Plus Side: Tough, smart, Irish-Catholic guy with honest working-class roots (as astutely christined by pal/colleague Michele McPhee "a political Tim Russert"), who may be the most experienced foreign policy member of US Gov't. Wicked good campaigner. Good personal story. Second-best (next to H Clinton) choice for Yo-Bama - but a very strong one. Would be a strong Vice President.

Down Side: BY CHOOSING BIDEN (for his foreign policy experience), OBAMA HAS JUST VALIDATED THAT HE IS UNQUALIFIED HIMSELF TO BE PRESIDENT (i.e. "I don't know foreign policy, so I have hired a consultant who does.").

SORRY - ONE DOES NOT, CAN NOT, DELEGATE THE JOB OF COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF----WE VOTE FOR A PRESIDENT, NOT HIS CONSULTANT.

P.S. Joe Biden stood next to Yo-Bama just weeks ago and said "I stand by my statement that Obama is not ready to be President of the United States."

ALSO: To Yo-Bama's left-wing and younger (i.e. most rabid) core supporters, Joe Biden - 30 years an establishment politician in Wash DC - IS THE OPPOSITE OF "CHANGE".

The Media, of course, will extend to Biden the customary non-adversarial fellatio...BUT BIDEN (his record, his statements while campaigning v. Obama, his soon-to-be-many-more gaffes) WILL GIVE MCcAIN PLENTY OF OPPORTUNITIES TO ATTACK THE DEM TICKET.

As afforementioned, I am disappointed Biden is the choice, because he is a good candidate who will help Yo-Bama more than hurt him.

ALL THE MORE REASON NOW McCAIN MUST CHOOSE MITT ROMNEY.

More coming....

Excelsior!


JTS

Friday, August 22, 2008

OBAMA VP WATCH FRIDAY P.M.

On the Campaign...

Okay - as presumably we shall know tomorrow morning the identity of Yo-Bama's VP pick, here's a presumably final thought on the matter of the moment:

To reiterate: Were I advising Yo-Bama THERE IS NO QUESTION THE BEST CHOICE IS HILLARY CLINTON.
In my professional opinion, choosing Hillary blows the campaign open for Yo-Bama and leaves McCain in the dust.
I appreciate - better than most - the profound downsides of a Clinton(s) as an actual Vice President.
But as a CANDIDATE, she surpasses everybody in the potential to help elect Obama, Period.
But, as I say, I am virtually alone in believing this. So say it isn't Hillary...

Then it must be Biden.

Or not.

In any case, here's the wild (i.e. brilliant) guess that motivates my perhaps final blog for this, my final summer vacation day of 2008:

My guess is this: if Yo-Bama breaks his VP story tonight, I predict One Television Network will scoop all the others.

I predict if the story breaks tonight, NBC News (and/or MSNBC) will first breal the story.

Know why?

If Yo-Obama is waiting for Friday night - normally the death valley of the weekly news cycle (given the choice, one announces only one's indictment on a Friday evening, as nobody is watching) - it is because of the OLYPMICS.....as in a huge Friday night, late August, vacation, stay-at-home, TV audience.

There is only One Thing we we will be watching: THE OLYMPICS.

Thus: my theory is that if the story breaks tonight, NBC will first have it....BECAUSE OBAMA CUT A DEAL WITH THEM TO HAVE IT FIRST, TO REACH THEIR HUGE OLYMPICS TV AUDIENCE.

Am I nuts?
Quite possibly.

But - if NBC first has this YoBama VP story - PLEASE RECALL WHERE YOU HEARD IT FIRST.

Check in tomorrow morning, and throughout the weekend will you?

Excelsior!

JS

WAITING FOR BARACK GODOT

On the Campaign...

As we wait on Yo-Bama to announce his #2, two late names have suddenly been floated: Conggressman Chet Baker of Texas, and former General Wesley Clark.

On Clark, I'd say No. He Does offer military credentials - a form of foreign policy credentials...but not the same thing and, being military in nature, not wildy popular among the radical left-wing base of Yo-Bama's party. Also: Clark is not a practiced politician, and has demonstrated a propensity for impolitic and just plain stupid remarks. Clark is not a crazy pick....but I am guessing he's not it.

As for Congressman Baker....Very Interesting.
The obvious response to him is WHO?! ------but wait: Baker is Nancy (aka "Bella" Pelosi's favorite. She recently named him on national TV, actually saying she 'Hoped he'd be the VP nominee".

So what?
Here's what: remember how Obama clinched the Dem race when he was fighting tooth and nail with Hillary? When he seemed like he was sinking? What saved him?
Answer: the perfectly-timed, leaked announcements by Dem SuperDelagates that they were going with Obama. That saved his bacon.

And who controls the Dem SuperDelagates?
Yes, Bella Pelosi.

So, what Peolsi wants - VP wise - Pelosi gets?
Not a lock...but why else would she go out in front on national TV with Baker's name - a total unknown?

Was the (i.e. her) VP fix in the moment Pelosi swung the Supers for Obama?
Maybe, maybe not.

But again, I am going to guess No.
I don't think even the heavy hand of Pelosi/Dem party leaders can persuade Obama he can win with an unknown - even if he might carry elector-rich Texas.

The smartest best for Yo-Bama remains Hillary, though I know I am alone on that one.
The next-smartest is Joe Biden. Biden would, on balance, be a winner for Obama.
I just don't know if Obama agreees.

More as news breaks.....

Excelsior!


JS

THE CHOSEN ONE HAS CHOSEN

On the Campaign...

Obama has chosen his VP running mate; we are merely waiting for it to leak to the media.

Both candidates need to fix major shortcomings with their VP picks.
Yo-Bama needs someone to give him Foreign Policy Chops. If he has picked an empty suit as light as himself, he has squandered his opportunity and maybe his chances.

As the New York Times writes today (as I wrote yesterday, and previewed several weeks ago on-the-air), Delaware Senator Joe Biden is the only prominent candidate who fills this bill.

And because he does, Obama foes (like Me), ought to fear Biden: he is tough, accomplished, and has more foreign policy experience than any other five people in politics.

Yes, he is a liberal...but doesn't really play like one.
And, Yes, he has a long history of foot-in-mouth disease, including at least one infamous case of plagarism that caused him to quit his first Pres campaign...but the media will love him and give him a clean slate.

Next only to Hillary Clinton, Biden could help turn Obama's campaign around.

Let's hope Yo-Bama has not shown the political acumen to have picked Joe Biden.

More as news breaks....

Excelsior!

JS


Thursday, August 21, 2008

OBAMA'S VP IMPERATIVE

ON THE CAMPAIGN....

As to Obama's VP choice:

Just as McCain is truly boxed by having to choose a running mate who will shore up his weak flank (in his case, the conservative base) - meaning Mitt Romney - so too is Yo-Bama boxed: he is kidding himself if he thinks he has the luxury of a left-wing soul mate. He does not.

Yo-Bama needs to protect his weak flank (i.e. Zero Foreign Policy Experience) by choosing a runnig mate who loans him some international chops.

I cannot tell you how a communist thinks (ask my buddies Jim and/or Marjory ) - but I can tell you what this commie Ought To Do: Joe Biden.

Among the various fools being publicly considered (excepting H Clinton, who is Satan, but no fool - and who would put Obama over the top), only Joe Biden gives Yo-Bama this Foreign Policy boost.

BIDEN GIVES OBMAMA VITAL FOREIGN POLICY CREDENTIALS.

Thus, other than H Clinton, only Biden worries me.

More as news and my brilliant creative juices evolve,

from Nantucket but back Monday,

Excelsior!

JS

WORLD EVENTS HURTING YO-BAMA

ON THE CAMPAIGN....
<8/21>


To the extent the Pres campaign can be conducted in a National Vacuum - i.e. concerning only domestic issues like education, social security,
environment, etc. - it helps Yo-Bama.
Domestic issues are a level playing field for Yo-Bama, where his inexperience doesn't obtain.

But World Events have recently conspired to change the equation: Russia's invasion of Georgia and threatening gestures toward other former Soviet Republics and even eastern Europe REMIND AMERICAN VOTERS THAT WE THERE ARE EVIL, DANGEROUS PEOPLE IN THE WORLD.
THESE EVENTS REMIND VOTERS WE HAVE ENEMIES.

AND, AS SUCH, WORLD EVENTS MAGNIFY YO-BAMA'S INADEQUACIES - NAMELY, OBMAMA'S FOREIGN POLICY EXPERIENCE IS LIMITED TO HAVING TWICE BREAKFASTED AT AN INTERNATIONAL HOUSE OF PANCAKES.

OBAMA = RISKY IN A DANGEROUS WORLD.

OBAMA AS COMMANDER IN CHIEF VS. THE RUSSIANS? VS. A NEW COLD WAR? VS. TERRORISTS?

NO-BAMA, THANKS.

EXCELSIOR!

More as news breaks....

JS

McCAIN'S VP RUNNING MATE

<1:00p>

AS TO McCAIN'S RUNNING MATE...
N.B. my prior commentaries, on-air + blog: Historically, VP choices are an endeavor to Win Extra Votes otherwise unavailable to the nominee (i.e. running mates are always picked based on criteria of Demography and/or Ideology and/or Geography).

McCAIN DOES NOT, AND NEVER DID, HAVE THE LUXURY OF THIS OPTION.
McCAIN'S LIBERAL REPUBLICAN HISTORY HAS ALIENATED THE CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICAN BASE.
McCAIN CHOOSING LIEBERMAN OR A PRO-CHOICE/LIBERAL REPUBLICAN RUNNING MATE IS POLITICAL SUICIDE.
IF McCAIN'S OWN POLITICAL HISTORY IS INADEQUATE TO ATTRACT INDEPENDENTS, A LIB RUNNING MATE WILL NOT DO IT FOR HIM.
A MODERATE/LIBERAL VP PICK GUARANTEES CONSERVATIVES (LIKE ME, AND YOU) STAY HOME ON McCAIN.
ONLY BY CHOOSING A VP WHO SATISFIES CONSERVATIVES CAN McCAIN WIN.
McCAIN'S VP SELECTION IS ABOUT GALVANIZING (I.E. BRINGING HOME) THE REPUBLICAN/CONSERVATIVE BASE.

THIS IS WHY TO WIN McCAIN MUST CHOOSE MITT ROMNEY.

MORE TO COME AS NEW BREAKS....

JS



MITT HAPPENS?

John McCain may not Like Mitt Romney, but he'd better Love him.
McCain may not want Mitt Romney, but he Needs him.
There is no other possible choice McCain might make for VP running mate that would galvanize, energize, excite and turn-out his potential vote.
I am frankly pessimistic as to the chances McCain wil do the right/smart thing and pick Mitt.
But if he does, McCain can win this thing - and we can have a real Republican Party, Agenda and immediate political future for conservatives.
If McCain wants to win, Mitt Happens.

Excelsior!

JS

BEWARE THE HILLARY SURPRISE!

On July 31, I wrote in this space that I do not believe Hillary Clinton is politically deceased until I see the body (brutally unappetizing though that thought is).

And the current under-performance of the Yo-Bama campaign might force him to produce that body, live, next to him, holding hands aloft as running mates next week.

Yes, HRC as a VP would be a colossal problem for YO-Bama.
But Yo-Bama may have topped out - especially among white voters - creating a need to break this thing wide open.

And nothing is as wide as Hillary.

Who else would make this ticket guaranteed Page One news every day until Nov?

Would HRC alienate Independents, some Dems, and energize Repubs?
Yes.
But the blockbuster surprise announcement, Clinton's presence on the ticket, and of course the media orgy accompanying it could be the Only pick that would blow this thing open for Yo-Bama.

He doesn't want her on the ticket. He certainly doesn't want her in the White House. He doesn't want to use a food-taster for 4 or 8 years. He doesn't want to suffer Bill.

But Yo-Bama Does want to win.
Badly enough that he could still put fatso on the ticket.

I know, I know...it probably won't happen.

But it still could.

These blogs resume as of today.
Hear you on the radio Monday, B+B.

Excelsior!

JS

Sunday, August 3, 2008

PARIS AND BRITNEY HURT BARRACK!

No, B+B, not a new S&M sex tape but, rather, a significant political fact from this past week: THE "OBAMA/PARIS HILTON/BRITNEY SPEARS/CELEBRITY" TV COMMERCIAL HURT YOBAMA - AND DAMAGED HIM AS BADLY AS ANY SINGLE TV SPOT HAS IN MODERN U.S. POLITICAL HISTORY.

In my 25+ years in national politics & media, only a few times has there been a TV ad with the potential to change the dynamic of the campaign - and this is one of them.

The reason is that THIS ATACK CUTS TO THE HEART OF OBAMA'S GREATEST VULNERABILITY: HIS INEXPERIENCE, ARROGANCE, CELEBRITY.

Of the voters who do not like or have doubts about Obama, this ad hits the sweet spot of their anxities about him. This ad has the result of being clever, visually compelling, and having that precious "AH HA!" quality, whereby viewers say "EXACTLY!"

This ad - and general line of attack - places into accessible words and pictures the essence of the most effective criticism of Obama.

And it hurt, and it shows: The Obama forces are out in full-force on the weekend talk shows damning the ad as "racist". But the McCain forces are fighting back, and effectively.

Because this ad/tactic worked, expect to see a lot more of it, starting right now.

McCAIN EVIDENTLY HAS RECOGNIZED THAT HE CAN WIN THIS FIGHT ONLY BY CREATING SERIOUS DOUBTS ABOUT OBAMA.

IF HE DRIVES UP OBAMA'S NEGATIVES, HE CAN WIN.

THESE NEXT FEW PRE-DEM-CONVENTION WEEKS WILL BE CRUCIAL TO McCAIN'S ATTACK STRATEGY.

AS SUCH, THESE NEXT FEW WEEKS WILL LIKELY FEATURE THE KEY PUNCHES AND COUNTER-PUNCHES THAT WILL DETERMINE THE OUTCOME OF THIS RACE.

JTS

More tomorrow @3:00-7:00p WTKK 96.9 FM

WILL OBAMA FLIPS LEAD TO FLOP?

WHEN A CANDIDATE HAS A BAD WEEK - AND YOBAMA HAS JUST HAD HIS FIRST - THE USUAL, LOGICAL MOVE IS (YOU SHOULD PARDON THE EXPRESSION) "CHANGE"....AS IN "QUICK! CHANGE SOMETHING!"

BEHOLD YOBAMA'S FIRST BIG FLIP FLOP: BECAUSE McCAIN HAS BEEN WINNING VERY BIG POLITICAL POINTS - OF COURSE AT YOBAMA'S EXPENSE - ON THE "DRILL HERE FOR OIL NOW!" ISSUE, YOBAMA HAS FLIP-FLOPPED 180 DEGREES, NOW FAVORING THE McCAIN POSITION.

YOBAMA HAD NO CHOICE. THE "DRILL HERE, DRILL NOW" POSITION ENJOYS MASSIVE SUPPORT AMONG VOTERS AND IT WAS HURTING YOBAMA.

AND THAT IS THE STORY OF THIS PAST WEEK: THE FIRST WEEK YOBAMA HAS LOST, McCAIN WON, AND YOBAMA WAS FORCED TO FLIP-FLOP TO STOP THE BLEEDING.

IF McCAIN IS ABLE (AD HE MAY NOT BE) TO PUT TOGETHER A FEW MORE WEEKS LIKE THE LAST ONE, FORCING YOBAMA INTO A FEW MORE KEY RETREATS...AND McCAIN WILL BE IN THIS RACE.

WATCH FOR MORE AGGRESIVE LANGUAGE AND ATTACKS FROM BOTH CANDIDATES THIS WEEK.

IT WILL CERTAINLY MAKE FOR GREAT RADIO (i.e. 3-7p, weekdays, WTKK 96.9 FM).

JTS

Friday, August 1, 2008

HOPE: McCAIN FIGHTS!

B+B:

The current "controversial" - and "racist" - McCain campaign television commercial criticizing YObama as an international celebrity but empty suit, a bimbo, Is No Mistake.

While nobody was paying much attention, the McCain campaign has recruited some key new players, all of whom come straight out of the Karl Rove School of Attack.

Plus: the (correct) thinking at the top of the McCain campaign is now that this campaign is REFERENDUM ON YOBAMA - nothing more, nothing less:
McCAIN CAN WIN THIS CAMPAIGN ONLY BY DRIVING UP YOBAMA'S NEGATIVES.

Thus, so long as this current McCain braintrust remains in control, expect to see a FAR MORE AGGRESSIVE TONE AND PLAN OF ATTACK.

As such, there is Hope - hope that at least 51% of American voters will learn enough about Yobama's nauseating beliefs/values/associations/inexperience
that he can be defeated.

N.B. There is a prospective danger in this strategy: Undecided Voters (moderate Repubs, Independents) are put-off by the fear of being called, or associated with, a "racist"...this is why the Obama campaign will respond to every criticism with charges that McCain is Playing The Race Card. Of course it is Yobama who has played the Race Card since day one - but the media whores, playing Monica Lewinsky to Yobama's Clinton will continue to validate anything Yobama claims. Bottom line: McCAIN MUST ATTACK, BUT BE CAREFUL TO DODGE THE "RACISM" CHARGE - lest he alienate the swing voters he needs to win.

McCAIN CANNOT WIN THIS RACE - BUT McCAIN CAN STILL CAUSE YOBAMA TO LOSE IT.

TORA!
TORA!
TORA!

(and I do not mean the Hebrew good book.)


JTS


Thursday, July 31, 2008

0-BAMA'S HILLARY SURPRISE?

B+B:

Okay, color me cynical, but...I, too Have A Dream. A Nightmare.
YObama sees his invincibility slipping, McCain rising.
He continues to totally ignore Hillary Clinton and, as a result, the entire media ignores her to. She can't get arrested, a ghost.
Finally, we hear YObama asks Clinton to speak at the 2nd night of the Dem Convention, and the media - today - jumps all over this as a signal she will Not be his running mate (VPs never speak 2nd night). No, she is speaking to commemorate the anniversary of women's sufferage.
I don't believe it.
Considering the nature and magnitude of the anger and alienation Obama is causing among women who support Clinton by his treatment of Hillary (i.e. treating her like a dead person), he must do Something to mollify them, right?

I BELIEVE THERE IS A STRONG CHANCE THAT HILLARY HAS ALREADY AGREED TO BE YOBAMA'S RUNNING MATE----AND THAT YOBAMA WILL DROP A BLOCKBUSTER ANNOUNCEMENT, BLOWING McCAIN'S CAMPAIGN OUT OF THE WATER (and it would).

I know, I know, an unlikely scenario.
But, still...
I have yet to see the stake through Mrs. Clinton's political heart.
It is not dead.
It stakes the earth, undead.
It needs fresh blood.
McCain's. Yours.
It is the nightmare:

BEWARE THE HILLARY VP SURPRISE!


More later.....

JTS

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

JAYLY NEWS, Tuesday, July 29, 2008

TODAY'S CONVERSATION derives from the voluminous, significant items listed in Monday's Jay-ly.
I anticipate these Headlines will dominate our show today.
HOWEVER...

THE #1 STORY IN THE MEDIA AND THE NATION TODAY IS THE ONE I PREVIEWED FOR US YESTERDAY:

NEW NATIONAL POLLS, ALL OF WHICH INDICATE McCAIN IS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE - OR EVEN AHEAD OF - OBAMA.

THIS IS NOT ONE OR TWO POLLS, BUT SEVERAL.
AND THESE OPINIONS COME FRESH OFF POPE OBAMA'S SELL-OUT AMERICA EUROPEAN TOUR.

THIS IS A SHOCKING - AND WONDERFUL - DEVELOPMENT.

SOMETHING IS WRONG IN OBAMA-NATION.

IS THERE TRULY HOPE?

MIGHT WE PATRIOTS STILL OUTNUMBER THE OBAMANIACS?

WE CONSIDER THAT QUESTION, AND MUCH MORE, TODAY
@3:00p, 96.9 FM WTKK.

JTS

Monday, July 28, 2008

JAY-LY NEWS, Monday 7/28

THE CONVERSATION:

@ OBAMA'S MOST EGGREGIOUS CRIMES
(Hear audio today, Monday)

@ HOPE?
# Possible Barack-lash showing in polls?
# Barack as George III?

@ McCAIN OPOPSES AFFIMATIVE ACTION!
# one reason why polls good in swing states

@ ...BUT McCAIN "ENTHUSIASM GAP" LINGERS
#...and non-Romney choice would be deathknell.

@ OBAMA: "USA NEED TO RE-ENGAGE*"
* Surrender.

@ "PENTAGON FLEXES ITS ALTRUISM MUSCLE"
I did not make this up. Now, formally, our military as social workers.
I am sure Al Queida is impressed and worried.

@ WITCHES INSULTED. (Herald, 7/28 Ed. pg.)
Doomed, I say.

@ "JWHORENALISTS OF COLOR"
Is it a black thing?

@ HOUSING (PROUNOUNCED WHORE-SING) BILL PASSED, YOU LO$E!
Giant welfare bail-out = United States of Socialism.
# Deadbeats get your money - but Business Loans get cut.

@ JWHORENALISTS WITHOUT COLOR
# "How Obama Became Next President"

@ IRAN: WE HAVE PLENTY OF NUKE CAPABILITY, AND WILL NOT STOP.
And who will stop them? OBAMA??!!

@ SCHOOL TESTS ABANDONED FOR REASONS OF "CIVIL RIGHTS"
We are truly doomed to producing generations of morons.

@ BOSTON OFFERS YOUTH SUMMER HIP HOP CAMPS.
Real-life skills for real-life achievement.

@ "NANTUCKET's CULTURAL CLASH"
# Nantucket, R.I.P.

@ "DEATH ROW PRISONERS REACH OUT, ON INTERNET."
Did I mention we are surely doomed?

THESE, AND MORE, STARTING AT 3:00p Today, WTKK 96.9 FM

JTS

Sunday, July 27, 2008

100 Days

B+B:

One hundred days remain in the biggest Us versus Them election ever.
I believe survival of reason, of law and order, of our culture, of our country is at stake.
Just like we will never again experience $1.50 per-gallon gasoline, if Obama becomes President neither will ever again see America as we know it.
Here are the most significant current factors influencing the most important election in our history, and our on-air conversation this week.

THE HEADLINES

@ POPE BARACK Ist CONCLUDES PAPAL TOUR!

# Obama, "citizen of the world", chooses foreign audiences over American citizens...negotiates U.S. surrendur with foreign leaders on same soil as our soldiers are dying...Obama slams America in front of America-hating Euros...Obama snubs wounded troops - and lies about it (Obama claims he was asked not to visit military hospital; Pentagon says "false")...reveals intentions to welcome illegals and raise taxes...all in all commits treason in spirit and our bull-dog media Sees, Hears, Speaks No Obama Evil.

# Boston Globe, CBS, NBC, ABC, MSNBC, CNN, New York Times, Wash Post, et. al. to be named wholly-owned subsidiaries of the Obama campaign.

@ BARACK-LASH?
Is it possible patriotic Americans might finally see in real light this Manchurian Candidate, who favors America-hating Euros over You & Me and visiting our wounded soldiers? Might there be a Barack-lash?
(i.e. Jay Leno says "Congratulations to Barack Obama, who was just elected Chancellor of Germany.")

@ RACE QUOTIENT: As afforementioned...if Obama were white, there is no trip, no story, no candidacy. This is a Total Affirmative Action Candidacy.

JOIN ME AT 3:00P Monday, 96.9 WTKK FM


JTS

Thursday, July 24, 2008

THURSDAY POST SCRIPT II: HOPE? II

O n the heels of WSJ/NBC poll showing YObama with mere 6 pt lead, newest FOX NEWS/Opinion Dynamcs poll shows More Hope:
Obama leads McCain by ONE POINT.

stay tuned....


jts

JAY-LY POST-SCRIPT (THURSDAY): HOPE?

Hope.

You want to talk Hope?

As you know, I have consistently preached that our Only Hope (of preventing an Obama presidency) derives from hard evidence in the primaries indicating Obama sems unable to capture even 40% of the White Working Class Vote.

Though I have yet to see the "internals" of this new polling, the new Wall Street Urinal/N. B(arack).C. survey shows Obama leading McCain, one of the worst candidates in history, by ONLY SIX POINTS.

The Jesus of Politics only 6 points up?

HERE IS REAL HOPE.


JTS