Sunday, March 30, 2008

WHY HILLARY WON'T QUIT (YET)

B&B:

Why Hillary Won't Quit Yet starts with What Hillary Knows.

Hillary Knows: It is Sunday morning, March 30, and on all the network talk shows the Democrat Drumbeat for Hillary to Quit grows - as we predicted last week - bigger, louder and broader.

Hillary Kknows: this very public anti-Clinton trickle is poised to become a wave, the wave a Tsunami. The Democrats recognize their dream (a woman and an African-American) is fast becoming a nightmare, with the voters of both candidates increasingly bitter and alienated against the other. Several more weeks of this - not to mention the prospect of a wild, nasty, implosion of a national convention - and we can save time and money by simply coronating John McCain right now.

Hillary Knows: that Democrats are, therefore, in a panic to get The Deal cut NOW.
The Deal consists of either combining Obama + Clinton on one ticket, Or pushing Hilary overboard. They really don't much care which...just one or the other, NOW.

Hillary Knows: they have to come to her to cut The Deal. And unless she agrees, she stays in this campaign, burns down the Democrat Party, bringing Obama down with her.
And that is why Hillary waits, waits, waits - for maximun leverage, to cut the Best Deal.

Hillary's Best Deal consists of these elements, in ascending order of priority: (1) saves face (2) bestows enormous, continuing political power on her...which serves her ultimate goal, unchanged (3) the Presidency...in 2012.

And why not? John McCain is older right now than Mrs. Clinton will be if - sorry, When - she runs in 2012...Obama could lose, immediately establishing Clinton as the next Democrat candidate favorite...McCain might serve a single term (could happen), and she gets to run 2012...Obama wins, but has a weak first term and she - a la Ted Kennedy, 1980 - launches a primary challenge against a sitting President of her own party. (She wouldn't dare? Are you forgetting who we're talking about here?). So the scenario exists fully, at least in the mind of Clinton(s).

That means The Deal must include a place on the ticket, OR the Democrat Senate leadership, OR a guaranteed, unopposed candidate ststus from her party in 4 years.

Watch: in a few days or weeks, Clinton surrogates - chiefly Impeached-Bill - will start dropping hints that "we always planned on the contingency of running again in 2012"..."you always don't win the first time".."I think she'll be even a stronger candidate the 2nd time around"...

IN ANY CASE: Hillary stays in to drive up the cost of The Deal. The greater the threat she can hold over her party, the better The Deal she will get.
When Clinton(s) believe she is at her moment of maximum leverage (i.e. threat to destroy Obama, his chances, her party), she will cut The Deal.

And not before.

Thus, in effect, the Clinton 2012 campaign begins today.
Remember from whom you first heard this, ok?

Excelsior!

JTS

Sunday, March 23, 2008

FORGIVE MY ABSENCE. I AM RETURNED.

B&B:

Please forgive my recent absence from this space.

I was, as perhaps you know, off to my beloved Aspen for circa 10 days to frost-clean my brain, then getting caught-up this past week with material and preparations, etc. our radio show.

In case you cared, I am back and Blogging regularly.

Please join me here and on the air 3-7p weekdays.

Delighted to be back, B&B.

JS, Sunday a.m.

EASTER: WHERE DID OBAMA GO TO CHURCH?

So: the vile racism and raw hate against white folks preached by Obama's pastor is, we are told, "common" in black churches.

If so, we are a profoundly race-divided culture.
Not good news.

Worse news for Barack Obama.

Because now many, many white voters - most especially white, catholic, ethnic, blue-collar voters in crucial states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, etc.) - without whose support election as President is mathematically impossible, have the impression Obama is not with them, indeed, perhaps against them.

That is most certainly the impression I have. And it was confirmed the instant Obama arrogantly refused to denounce his perverted pastor.

So now Obama gets what he deserves: almost surely the Democrat nomination....then defeat in the general election.

That is my prediction.
And not since the Romney campaign ended have I had such a strong, personal rooting interest.

Obama must not and, I believe, can not be elected President.

And for this turn-of-fortune, Brack Hussein Obama has Rev Wright ("God damn America.") - thus himself - to blame.

Excelsior!

JS

YOUR MONEY

B&B:

Because I am appallingly inadequate in my knowledge of economics I am reluctant to offer opinions or analyses in this area.

But in Bear Stearns case, I will make an exception - because the offense against us is so grave, so brazen and so understandable (even to me).

For twenty years I lived in NYC and the Hamptons and hung around with Wall Street guys. I know them. I know they have $25 million Hampton beach houses and $200,000 cars. They get $5 million Chtistmas bonuses. When they are 28 years old.

I am a big capitalist, so I have no problem with what they have earned or how they send their money. However, I have a huge problem with how they spend Ours.

You see, while Bear Stearns, et. al. was making money, they were keeping it. Fine. But when they threw Other Peoples' Money into ludicrously risky financial deals, and those deals collapsed, they didn't give back their cars and houses - as you and I would have to do. No, big the Wall Street players kept all their winnings, and stuck You and Me with the bill.

That is what the federal government did this week. They bailed out riverboat gamblers with the money you earned.

Quick: think of something you bought or invested in that went bad. We all have. But you didn't get a do-over. You didn't get your money back, and you're not going to.

No. To get that kind of deal you need to be a Wall Street Big Shot. Then, when things are flush, you keep it all. And when your bad decisions turn sour,...you still get to keep it all.
Because suckers like Me and You have to bail you out.
It's the law.
Our law.
And it is a disgrace.

Excelsior!

JS

Wednesday, March 5, 2008

IT IS EVEN WORSE FOR DEMOCRATS.

B+B:

As I prepare to go to air here on Wednesday p.m., a further thought on the nature and magnitude of the keenly vexing reality Democrats immediately face:

1. THE DEM RACE IS NOW OUTSIDE THE HANDS OF VOTERS.
Because of Clinton's Texas-Ohio-Rhode Island success - again establishing presence for her - no single or group of primaries/caucuses is capable of "breaking the race open", for either candidate.
THIS MEANS THE DEM NOMINATION IS NOW VIRTUALLY CERTAIN TO BE SETTLED NOT BY VOTERS, BUT IN COURT OR BY SUPER-DELEGATES.
And that is almost surely going to cause a historic and greatly problematic split in their party; it could cost them the election.

2. SUPER-DELEGATES NOW HAVE A STARK CHOICE: ATTEMPT TO SETTLE THIS RACE "FROM THE INSIDE", OR LET IS FESTER, LINGER, TWIST IN THE WIND FOR MONTHS.
Without forceful - and probably hugely unpopular - intervention from party leaders, the dem race isn't going to swerve al over the map merely until the Pennsylvania primary (7 weeks distant, April 22) - but until at least the June 7 Puerto Rico primary...and quite possibly until after the re-do of both Michigan's and Florida's primaries, which could push this up to the convention.

3. PENNSYLVANIA IS A STATE DEMOCRATS MUST WIN IN NOVEMBER - AND NOW THEY ARE GUARANTEED MONTHS OF UGLY, BLOODY CARPET-BOMBING OF BOTH DEM CANDIDATES, BY EACH OTHER.
Clinton(s) and Obama are now going to spend - what, 40 million dollars? - trashing each other to win their party's voters...but when they leave, the loser will have been savaged so badly that he/she may not be able to win Penn in November.

4. CALENDAR GUARANTEES DEMOCRAT MUTUAL ATTACK, ATTACK, ATTACK.
Q: What kept the dems on page 1 every day since Christmas?
A: weekly election events.
Now there is Nothing until 7 weeks from now.
Q: So, how will Clinton and Obama stay on page 1
A: The only way they can: by making, in the absence of primaries, the only kind of news
that guarantees coverage: attacking each other, leaking into the media bad rumors about each other, etc.
EVERY WEEK WITHOUT A PRIMARY THIS CAMPAIGN GOES ON WILL BE AN UGLY WEEK.
For Dems.
For us, BEAUTIFUL!

Excelsior!

JS

WHAT HAPPENED, WHAT IT MEANS

B+B:

I asked you to root for Hillary and, despite your gag reflex, you did!
WooHoo!

You wanted more Epic Civics Circus?
You Got It!

Here's some keys to what really happened last night, and what it means:

* Clinton(s) not nearly the winner either side assumes her to be. Hillary won a max of circa 20 (!) delegates on Tuesday, which means the delegate math remains the same, with Obama way ahead. The scenario whereby she catches and surpasses him in delegates
is the stuff of science fiction: she wins all remaining primaries/caucuses/delegates with circa 70% of the vote, PLUS the Dem Party holds do-overs of both the Florida and Michigan primaries which, again, Clinton wins with 70%, PLUS she steals from Obama most of the SuperDelegates. Paging Stephen King.

* Biggest Winner: Juan McCain! Not only did McCain become the nominee by capturing the nomination delegates and booting Nutabee from the race, he gets at least Two More Months of a bloody fight between his Democrat adversaries. A dream scenario for him and our nation.

* Racism! What else could Possibly explain the fact that, given an opportunity to Support a Savior, the backward bigots of Texas and Ohio voted Against Obama? Al Sharpton and Jesse Jackson are doubtess on their way!

* Buyers' Remorse: a lot of democrats that had been sleeping with Obama - especially Clinton's former base voters (women, latinos) - had second thoughts. They weren't quite sure they're ready to leave Hillary and actualy marry Obama.

* Negative Works! Having crafted and produced the messages of major campaigns across the country, I know Negative Works. Clinton's attacks v. Obama (esp the "White House Hotline Red Phone Ringing at 3:00a" TV spot) worked; the media's first experiment with abandoning their hideous double standard (so grotesque the media have twice been mocked by Saturday Night Live), and actually treating Obama like they do other candidates, worked. His numbers went down. Negative works ergo, we shall see a lot more negative, from both sides.

* Obama Must Fight Back: Yes, I know he is a religious figure, above mere mortal politics...but if Saint Barack continues to refuse to dirty His hands by punching back, he will be in trouble - not just because Clinton(s) will sense the weakness and slaughter him, but because MCCAIN AND THE REPUBLICANS will sense his weakness and slaughter him.

* Nightmare Ticket: the continuing blood oath/battle between Obama and Clinton will greatly fuel pressure by party leaders on both democrats to accept the second place on the ticket, to forge the Dem Dream Ticket.
With thanks to Nelson Rockefeller: Hillary Clinton has never aspired to be VICE-President of Anything.

* Nuclear Groundhog Day: Tuesday's results mean a minimum of SEVEN MORE WEEKS (!!!) of nuclear/negative/attack politics Groundhog Day, and one side has a real hog. How great it this?! And at the end of those 7 weeks, Clinton(s) likely will still lose - but not before crippling Obama with two months of bombs, dirt, and all-out attack.
(Doctors' Note: if aroused by the above for longer than 4 hours, do contact your physician.)

* Talk Radio Valhalla: What might have been a merely exciting primary season that ended on SuerTuesday has morphed wildly into a bloody free-for-all with both sides sworn to destroy the other. There is a definition for this in my business: "Heaven"!
Do join me for front row seats this and every afternoon @3p on 96.9 fm WTKK.

More to come...

Excelsior!

JS

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

WIN, WIN TUESDAY

B+B:

Well, if you Hate Hillary And Everything She Stands For this is Win Win Tuesday.

WIN: Today Clinton(s) fail in both Texas and Ohio to gain delegates. The only arithmetic left for her relies on suing in federal court to have do-overs of both Florida and Michigan primaires - then soliciting the cooperation of SuperDelegates to swing over to her, essentially stealing the nomination from actual Democrat voters. While that sceanrio is theoretically possible - and Clinton(s) love it - I don't believe it is going to happen.

Tomorrow, Hillary Clinton tearfully, angrily announces she is quitting.
Joy!
Rapture!

WIN: Today Clinton(s) score impressive comeback victories in Texas and Ohio, gaining substantial numbers of delegates and, with it, a legitimate claim to stay in the race.

And so she does, with Clinton(s) and 0-Bama hammering each other, every day until summer, probably up to and including the national convention, bloodying each other - so that when either she or he climbs into the ring against Juan McCain, either she or he will already be badly beaten up. And seriously damages the Democrat party in the process, very probably creating a jagged wound between various groups in the party's base.
WooHoo!

So, either way, today is Political Christmas of a sort.
Either way, there is something Democrat-Bad to look forward to.
Which means America-good!

WooHoo!

Excelsior!

JS

Monday, March 3, 2008

HOW JOHN McCAIN CAN APPEASE CONSERVATIVES

B+B:

He can't.

Conservatives have principles.
We do not compromise them.
And when someone - most especially a supposed confederate - betrays us, we may forgive, but we do not forget.
John McCain betrayed conservatves on taxes, judges, illegal aliens, free speech - to name more than is necessary to forge an indictment.
Then, having insisted he has recognized and corrected the error of his liberal ways, he just days later bashed a conservative radio for the sin of pronouncing Barack Hussein Obama's name.
So much for rehabilitation.

"What can McCain do to win back the loyaty and support of conservatives?", all the media moderates wail.
The answer is Nothing.

Juan McCain believes he can - and would prefer to - live without us.
The feeling is mutual.

Good luck, Juan!


Excelsior!

JS

ROOT FOR HILLARY.

B+B

It is that simple.
On Tuesday Root For Clinton(s).

My loyalty bona-fides are impeccable.
Nobody has despised and opposed the Socialist Witch more than I.

But well-informed patriots will appreciate that it is time for strategic thinking.
Nothing complex, very straightforward: as breathtakingly satisfying as it would be to witness teary, self-righteous Clinton(s) forced to quit the presidential campaign as soon as Wednesday, we must recall and embrace the Godfather's axiom: "the dish of revenge tastes best when eaten cold."

As much as resonable persons wish to see Satan defeated and humiliated, we wish even more to see her party and her agenda consigned the same fate.
And that happens only by defeating 0-Bama.
And that happens only by having a candidate in this race who is willing to launch relentless frontal (and entirely appropriate) assaults on 0-Bama, every single day between now and November.

John McCain will not do that.
Hillary Clinton will.

John McCain proably can't beat 0-Bama.
But Hillary Clinton can.

So, much as I deeply wish to see Clinton(s) bashed by voters Tuesday, I more wish to see her do well - temporarily - so she can survive to wage bloody, and maybe decisive, war against 0-Bama.

Because John McCain won't do that.
But Clinton(s) can...and will.

Go, Satan! Go!

Excelsior!

JS