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JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign So, add to the list of calamitous republican misfortunes hurricane Gustav - disrupting their national convention, reminding people of Katrina - right?Not so fast.Consider this: the Dems consistently strongest indictment against McCain - he represents "Bush's 3rd term"..."too close to Bush/Cheney", etc.And this kiss-of-death political relationship could not but be underscored and magnified by President Bush and VP Cheney scheduled appearances at the Republican Ntl Convention.Damning Dilemma for the republicans: you can't live (i.e. win) with Bush & Cheney, but neither can you live without (i.e. disinvite) them at this week's national convention.Enter Gustav!This Meteorlogical Marvel strikes with timing such that the Republicans certainly cannot safely indulge in the usual silly convention conventions, right?Too bad for the Republicans?A BLESSING FOR THE REPUBLICANS.Now, the one thing John McCain needed but couldn't have openly wished for (and could never have attempted to pull off) - both Bush & Cheney Not appearing at the RNC - is going to happen...instead a touchy-feely tribute to the hurricane victims...and the McCain and the Republian Party will look good and humane and hurricane-sensitive in the bargain!And thus does John McCain, his new running mate, and his party get to present to the nation the face they party they Wish to send - not the one the apperance of Bush & Cheney would box them into sending.Any weeping being done by Republican Strategists over the loss of Bush & Cheney is Louisanna-specific: CROCODILE TEARS!Excelsior!JSNow
JAYLY NEWS SATURDAY AUG 30The most compelling evidence John McCain's choice of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin greatly worries Democrats is observing various members of the liberal news media go totally over the edge.I don't mean merely transparently and grotesquely biased - we see that every day, most especially on MSNBC: Mika Brezhinski (obvioulsy the dumbest human being ever to appear on television, including animal stories), Chris Matthews and the undisputed king of cable TV whackos, Keith Olberwellian have long-abandoned any pretense of objectivity, professional bearing, fairness and, with it, Journalism.No, I mean stark, raving mad. I mean when like watching a car wreck. Like you can't believe what you've just seen.Such was the case last evening (Friday Aug 29) when on MSNBC Chris Matthews gave Olberman a real run for the Joe McCarthy/Howard Beal award by becoming literally apoplectic at the news of Sarah Palin.Viewers must earnestly have thought Matthews was almost surely suffering a stroke: his eyes were poppping out of his fat head, his face was not just red but impurpled, spittle was forming in the corners of his mouth, and there wasn't a trace of irony or humor in his vindictive tirade. I mean, I know Matthews has just said "to hell with my critics" (for admitting to his being totally in the bag for Obama)...but Chris Matthews acted like a crazy man.Then it got worse (i.e. Really Good). After wildly screeching his objections to Sarah Palins resume, John McCain's nefarious motives and the general evilness of Republicans, Matthews spewed at his GUEST AND COLLEAGUE (and a man superior to Matthews in terms of intellect, expertise, poliical knowledge and, now obviously, breeding) Pat Buchanan the single most ugly, personal, insulting attack on another person I have ever witnessed on television. (And I am a veteran TV talking head, having made hundreds of appearances with friend and mostly foe, mostly on MSNBC.)The thesis, as it were, of Matthews' rant was "how is it POSSIBLE someone could be even CONSIDERED for high office if she had once SUPPORTED PAT BUCHANAN?!" (Full disclosure: I workred for Pat Buchanan off and on for years, including his Presidential campaigns.)Matthews, glowering at an incredulous Buchanan - who could clearly see the host had vacated his faculties - said "YOU MEAN SARAH PALIN COULD BE PICKED EVEN AFTER SUPPORTING THE WORST OF PAT BUCHANAN?!" (A reference to PB's controversial and magnificent convention speech.) This to Mr. Buchanan's face - again, a day-to-day MSNBC colleague, respected author, political figure and former candidate for President of the United States.Matthews' seizure continued for the entirety of the show. When at the end Pat Buchanan asserted that Sarah Palin's pro-life postion would be a political asset in many areas of the country (this issue and statement seeming to drive Matthews to a glorious new level of screaming, wild-eyed, foaming madness) the host responded like a troubled child "OH YEAH?! YOU JUST GO AND TRY THAT UP WHERE I LIVE AND SEE WHERE IT GETS YOU!"Maybe poor Chris - whom I've met, and whose work I once admired - simply cannot withstand the mental strain of being dominated and punched around like a skinny cousin on-air by the paranoid bully Olberman. But let the record show - and the timeless video prove - that on Friday night, August 29, 7-8 p.m., with his hideously inappropriate and ugly personal attack on a colleague, Chris Matthews achieved the truly impressive: he sunk to the lowest level of any host in cable television history.Perfect for who Chris Matthews - and MSBNC - has become.Jay Severin
JAYLY NEWS...On The CampaignAS PREDICTED IN THIS SPACE, AND ON THE AIR:"The political physics of McCain's VP choice require he use it to galvanize his conservative/Republican base.""...but I do not believe he wants to pick Mit Romney."Sara Pallin is a very risky choice.She cannot be seriously considered qualified to be Commander-in-Chief...and thus reomves totally the Inexperience attack v. Obama. Could that cost McCain the election?Will she make rookie mistakes in the national campaign/media that doom McCain's credibility and electability?The one prospective upside is that Pallin's conservative beliefs will galvanize the Repub base fr McCain-----and maybe, maybe, attract some Ind and even a few Dem women alienated by the Hilary disappointment?This is the biggest, most dynamic VP choice in modern American history.THE QUESTION IS WHETHER PALLIN WILL HELP McCAIN WIN.Excelsior!JS
JAYLY NEWS....On The CampaignWELL, SO MUCH FOR THE DEM CONVENTION!OBAMA WHO??!Given the intensity and umbrage of the Media vis "a woman on the ticket" when it was Hillary Clinton, HOW WILL THEY TREAT THIS WOMAN (a Republican)?Is A Woman On The Ticket still a good idea?Media-wise: could this be a game-changer for McCain?JS
SARA PALLIN?!SARA PALLIN??!!HOW CAN I CRITICIZE DEMOCRATS FOR CLAIMING BARACK OBAMA CAN BE COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF IN WARTIME, WHEN McCAIN PUTS UP A TEENAGED GIRL AS COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF?IT IS A DANGEROUS GAMBLE AND AN INSULT TO ME THAT MY FAMILY WILL BE SAFE WITH A VP UNQUALIFIED TO BE COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF.SARA MAY HELP HIM WIN - BUT SHE IS A BAD CHOICE FOR OUR SAFETY.THIS IS HARRIET MYERS II.JS
JAYLY NEWS....On The CampaignAS PREDICTED: THE MAVERICK LIVES....BUT JUST COMMITTED POLITICAL SUICIDE?John McCain's pick, Sara Pallin, NOT READY TO BE COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF.OBAMA'S INEXPERIENCE NO LONGER A FACTOR.MITT ROMNEY WILL CERTAINLY SAY SOMETHING GRACIOUS, AND START PLOTTING HIS NEXT CAMPAIGN FOR PRESIDENT.JS
JAYLY NEWS....On The CampaignFRIDAY 10:32a: JOHN McCAIN PICKS SARA PALLIN, 44, ALASKA GOVERNORPallin may galvanize the Republican base - but as ONE YEAR AS ALASKA GOVERNOR, NO FOREIGN POLICY EXPERIENCE, AND FORMER MAYOR OF CITY OF 7,500, Pallin has just TAKEN OFF THE TABLE OBAMA'S INEXPERIENCE - McCAIN'S BIGGEST WEAPON AGAINST AND VOTERS BIGGEST DOUBT ABOUT OBAMA.Good luck, Mr. McCain.As far as I am concerned, you are on your own.You won't get my vote.Great Day for Obama.Excelsior (not)JS
AS OF 8:26a THIS (Friday) MORNING, NBC NEWS HAS REPORTED THAT NEITHER MITT ROMNEY NOR MINN GOV TIM PAWLENTY HAVE BEEN CHOSEN BY JOHN McCAIN AS RUNNING MATE.JS
JAYLY NEWS...On The CampaignThis is one of those days the establishment media all seem to running one story, all with the same words: How Proud We All Are That A Black Man Is A Candidate For President.And it is true.I am proud, as we all should be. But it also behooves me as a white citizen to be Releived - because the crimes and legacy of slavery and racism prevented until 2008 a black man or woman being seriously considered for the Presidency.So it's about time.Meanwhile, this historic racial/cultural nature of this momentus event is in danger of papering-over a crucial fact: the USA has finally nominated a black man - BUT NOT A QUALIFIED ONE.The day to rruly celebrate will be when a black man or woman ACTUALLY QUALIFIED TO BE PRESIDENT is nominated.Barack Hussein Obama is not.So celebrate, by all means.But the fact is, Obama's is, in effect, largely a racial token candidacy.Excelsior!JS
APPEARING ON THE MICHAEL GRAHAM SHOW THIS MORNING, A BOSTON HERALD COLUMNIST REPORTS HER SOURCES WITHIN MCCAIN CAMPAIGN POINT TO CHOICE OF MINNESOTA GOVERNOR TIM PAWLENTY.(IF TRUE, A DISASTER.)js
JAYLY NEWS...On The CampaignJohn McCain has reportedly chosen his running mate and will announce it tomorrow. It will leak today.Is it Mitt Romney?I hope so, and if you don't want President Obama, you'd better hope so, too - because if McCain does not choose Mitt, McCain loses.All the political physics dictate the Romney choice. I have said all along that I was not alone in my position that I will vote for McCain Only if Mitt is his running mate.And now, confirmation of how unalone I am: internal McCain polling shows that of all people he is considering for VP, Mitt Romney attracts the most votes.In fact the polling shows a McCain ticket including Romney makes ONE OUT OF FIVE VOTERS MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR McCAIN - ACROSS PARTY LINES! (Nobody else scores like this.)Thus there is every compelling political reason (not to mention the future of the Republican party) to pick Mitt - but most compelling of all, MITT GETS YOU ELECTED.BUT.....BUT....I don't trust McCain's political judgement, and I know his political loyalty is worse than non-existent.I believe McCain is thin-skinned and hasn't forgiven Mitt for challenging him during he primary. McCain is a liberal and wants another liberal on the ticket - like Lieberman!A big part of my instinct - and McCain's words in the past few days - discourage me in believing it is Mitt. I dearly hope I am wrong.A bi part of me knows McCain wants to produce an 'out-of-the-box' choice - like a woman, maybe even pro-choice woman.<:AtomicElement>
If he does, he will lose, and richly deserve to.<:AtomicElement>
P.S. In observing how Obama hurt himself by not merely failing to pick Hillary, but by being seen as treatung her disrespectfully, thus alienating/angering her suporters?Well, Mitt Romney has been all over the map and out in Denver this week - right up until last night - defending John McCain on TV and elsewhere, really putting himself on the line for McCain.Now, if McCain knows he isn't going to choose Romney, you would think he'd have a staff member place a telephone call - out of profesional courtesy and common decency - telling Mitt "hey, we appreciate what you are doing...but don't do it for us, if you know what we mean."This way, if Mitt is not picked, at least he doesn't look bad, soldiering out there for McCain until the 11th hour, only to have someone else chosen.Thus, if it isn't Mitt, McCain will lose millions of votes for political reasons - and millions more because we Romney suporters will be offended by how Mitt was treated at the end.That said: I am counting on John McCain's wanting to win.That requires picking a winner, someone who gets you the win: Mitt Romney.Excelsior!JS
JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign Pursuant to my previous post ("Dem Conv Bust"), the most significant phenomena in Denver are the Nature and sheer Volume of the VOCAL DISCONTENT among Dem Delegates, Dem Super-Delegates, Dem office-holders and Dem Strategy Big-Wigs, like James Carville.Thus far, the Only universal theme of this convention is the complaint by Dems that the convention is a mess without a message.This is remarkable for the facts that these Dems are complaining, complaining bitterly, complaining publicly - and It is Being Reported in the Media - despite the grotesque pro-Obama bias of the TV networks (esp MSDNC).IN FACT, THREE DAYS INTO THIS CRUCIAL CONVENTION, THE SINGLE BIGGEST STORY IS THE ANGER, UNHAPPINESS, AND PESSIMISM OF THE DEMOCRATS IN DENVER.Not the story-line for which they had hoped.Post Script: Who's speaking tonight for the Dems? Right: Bill Clinton!(...oh - but also a guy named Biden...you know....only the VP candidate....)"CLINTONS STEAL SHOW, OBAMA LOSES."Excelsior!JS
I can now, after only two days, safely declare the Democrat Ntl Convention a failure, a total flop.How? Why?Because the purpose of the convention is (was) singular: GET PEOPLE WHO WEREN'T VOTING FOR OBAMA TO VOTE FOR OBAMA.Because night two was great for Hillary Clinton, but a zero for Obama.Because when this collection of left wing freaks - whose major mode of transportation is obviously the short bus with wire-covered windows - gets flushed out of Denver Friday, the only things people will be talking about will be(1) Hillary Clinton's speech(2) Bill Clinton's speech(3) How many Hillary voters won't vote for Obama(4) McCain's VP pick.Obama's speech (how I hope there is a tornado) tomorrow evening will be another Berlin Rock Show, but he already has celebrity.What he needs is votes.White working class votes in Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Indiana, et. al.And Thursday's Obama Rock Concert may excite the crowd in the stadium in Denver - but it won't win votes in the mid-west.Could it be the Democrats are yet again committing political suicide?Only if there is a God.Excelsior!JS
JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign As predicted here and on-air yesterday, what we saw last night in Denver was the first event of the Hillary Clinton for President Campaign, 2012.Virtually All news media got this wrong: the False premise is that Hillary's task last night at the DNC was to "create unity". As if!Hillary Clinton makes a speech without a selfish agenda like Bill Clinton isn't dating.Hillary's actual task was to show off, make Dems think "we could have has her" and otherwise, along with her first-elected-President-in-the-history-of-the-USA-to-be-impeached husband who speaks tonight, to overshadow the party's candidate.Hillary as up on that stage to Feign unity, while seeking the best location to place the stiletto in Obama's back, as soon as possible, while keeping her fat fingerprints off of it - and every other under-the-radar effort to sabotage Obama.In keeping with this agenda, Hillary's speech as balanced: she mentioned the name Barack 2 times - balanced by 319 mentions of the personal pronouns "I" and "Me". Hilary's style was, as usual, a tasteful, appealing hybrid of first wife PMS and Mussolini.The media all say Hillary has "thrown her full weight behind Obama's candidacy". If that's true, Obama needs the Jaws of Life right about now.In fact, Clinton's withdrawal from the campaign has caused the bottom (a Huge bottom) to drop out of the international pantsuit market.Hillary scored last night - for Hillary.If you expected anything else, you don't know Hillary - and/or weren't listening to me yesterday.Excelsior!JS
B+B:I am pleased to declare I have again been accorded the privilege of invitation to appear on the Imus-in-the-Morning Show, tomorrow (Wed) morning, 6:30a.JS
Know this:"BLACK THEOLOGY REFUSES TO ACCEPT A GOD WHO IS NOT IDENTIFIED TOTALLY WITH THE GOALS OF THE BLACK COMMUNITY.IF GOD IS NOT FOR US AND AGAINST WHITE PEOPLE, THEN HE IS A MURDERER, AND WE HAD BETTER KILL HIM.BLACK THEOLOGY ACCEPTS ONLY THE LOVE OF A GOD WHICH PARTICIPATES IN THE DESTRUCTION OF THE WHITE ENEMY."- Black Liberation Theology, as cited by Rev Jeremiah Wright, Barack Obama's pastor, friend and spiritual advisor of 20 years, who married the Obamas, baptized their children, and the church Obama attended with his children, and financially supported for 20 years. Then, there is Bill Ayers...JS
JAYLY NEWS...On The CampaignIf the Dem Ntl Convention had been an Opening Night on Broadway, tonight would have been Closing Night.A political party/platform/ticket with a lot of crucial lies to tell convincingly has only a few hours of national TV coverage in which to make their fraudulent sale. And last night they wasted the entire opening act. Actually, "Zero" is a charitable assessment of the Monday Dem performance: if you don't win on any given (of only 4) nights, You Lose.And you want Losers? Nancy Pelosi?! Teddy Communist?! JIMMY CARTER?!!Tell me where to send the check - I will gladly pay to keep that kind of McCain commercial on the air.The Democrats evidently have - yet again - forgotten: A SUCCESSFUL POLITICAL CONVENTION PLAYS NOT TO THE VOTERS YOU GOT - BUT TO THE VOTERS YOU MUST GET.The Prime Democrat Strategy - failing miserably thus far - is to ATTRACT WHITE VOTERS. THIS IS WHY OBAMA PICKED JOE BIDEN.So now, on their opening night, the first opportunity to cash in on the Joe Biden strategy, instead of speaking to working and middle-class voters, Dems chose to put on a fraternity show for their own committed delegates in the convention hall, i.e. whacky, communist, losers.IT DIDN'T PLAY IN PEORIA.Thins are bound to get much hotter - and the stakes much higher - as the agenda includes Hillary Clinton, tonight, and Bill Clinton tomorrow, then YoBama on Thursday.But with Repubs looming on Monday, the Dems had beetr stop squandering time hitting their target.Hint, Dems: your target ain't Michelle O'Bama fans...it is Joe O'Biden fans.Excelsior!JSThat being the case,
JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign Hillary Clinton still wants to be President.The soonest she can do this is 2012.Byt the soonest she can help make it happen is tonight.Actually, Hillary cannot do it - "it" meaning sabotage Obama - herself, openly.On this she will rely on her fanatics.The only question is How Much Sour Grapes is Too Much Sour Grapes?For Hillary to be President, ever, Obama must lose, now.But Hillary cannot, a la the felonious Rose law firm criminal billing records, have her fat fingerprnts all over it.So Hillary and Bill will use their powers in every way possible to hurt Obama's chances, help McCains.But tonight, for Hillary herself, it will be all sweetness and loyalty and Unity."Obama must win and we must help him" she will say...as she ponders the most effective way to stick the big political knife in Obama's back. And you thought Michelle Obama was a good actress Monday night?The 2012 Clinton Presidential Campaign begins tonight.Excelsior!JS
JAYLY NEWS...On The CampaignMeet the new Witch, same as the old Witch.Monday evening the lights burned brightly on Broadway, and in theaters all over the country where charming fantasies are acted out which last night included a stage in Denver, starring Michelle Obama - militant socialist, Black Liberation Theology racist, America-hater...oh, and sweet Mother, Wife, Sister.That staged musical remake last night of "OBAM-OKLAHOMA!" was very well-produced, and totally phony. Nice script, Michelle, but we saw the original - we know how you really feel, about us, about your country.We have seen this act before: then it was known as "Angela Davis".The music was great, the lighting and make-up were fine - though there is still utterly no evidence to support every television anchor's breathless assertion that you are "gorgeous" - but when the act was over and you took your bow (wow), the facts are the facts: your husband's and your own beliefs and values are Unamerican and dangerous.Thoughtful, patriotic people of both parties will write a review of your convention performance that says "a proud, monumental American moment - the first prospective African-American first lady"....but one who is not proud of her country. Who thought anyone could make us long for Hillary's patriotism?Nice song and dance, Michelle.Now get off the stage.Excelsior!JS
JAYLY NEWS...AS WE GO TO AIR, MONDAY 8/25 2:00pTHE BIGGEST - NAY, EXISTENTIAL - CHALLENGE FOR THE DEMOCRAT PARTYRIGHT NOW, TODAY, AT THIS CONVENTION (AND, AS USUAL) IS THE PROFOUND GAP BETWEEN THE BELIEFS/VALUES OF DEM DELEGATES AND THOSE OF AMERICAN VOTERS.TODAY'S NY TIMES PROVIDES A GLIMPSE INTO THE ATTITUDES OF DEM CONV DELEGATES ON MAJOR ISSUES, I.E. VERY LEFT WING.ALSO TODAY, THE RASMUSSEN POLL (one of the few reliable national surveys) REPORTS THAT, WHEN ASKED TO IDENTIFY THEMSELVES POLITICALLY, AMERICAN VOTERS SAY "SOMEWHAT OR VERY CONSERVATIVE = 60%", "MODERATE =2%" (that is not a misprint. that is 2 - and in t w o - %), "SOMEWHAT OR VERY LIBERAL = 36%..CONSERVATIVE BY 2-1.DEM DELEGATES OUT OF TOUCH BY 20-1.THIS IS THE DEM CHALLENGE.THIS IS AGAIN, ONE HOPES, THE DEM DOOM.Excelsior!JS
JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign The biggest, most damaging discord in the Dem party/Dem convention this week - and in this campaign - is between Obamaites and Hillary Clinton die-hards, who refuse to accept she lost and continue to complain, loudly.Their principal complaint: Hillary wasn't even considered for VP - and Obama let the world know it, a slap in the face to the queen bee and her hive. How much will they have to say this week?How much will it hurt Obama?Will this be the first modern nationalpolitical convention in American history that features hundreds of major delegates appearing on TV saying "I was for Hillary. I don't support Obama. I am not voting for him."?This depends primarily on signals sent from Clinton(s) to their delegates: play nice - or raise hell?A PROMINENT SOURCE (Politico.com) TODAY REPORTS THAT CLINTON(S) INTENTIONALLY "FANNED THE FLAMES" - OR AT LEAST DID NOTHING TO TAMP DOWN - THE ANGER OF HILLARY SUPPORTERS ENRAGED AT OBAMA'S VP SNUB.So this tells us a lot about how animated (i.e. destructive) Hillary's most rabid fans intend to be in Denver.So begins the 2012 Clinton Campaign - which necessarily starts with doing everything to make Obama Lose.Excelsior!JS
JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign My time on and in media has coincided with Hillary Clinton's time in national politics. From the start, and for all this time, I have called her - in private and in public - exactly what all candid people call her: a Bitch.In fact, I cannot imagine Anybody, Clinton friend and foe alike, honestly answering the following sentence "Hillary Clinton is a real ________." with a word other than "Bitch."For this, I - and, perhaps, you - have been universally scorned. Various national media have quoted my calling Hillary Clinton a Bitch as proof that I am neither a serious political nor media commentator, but am surely an awful human being. So, gee, imagine my delight (and absolutely zero surprise) when I read this morning the respected Roger Simon's (Politico.com) history of the Hillary Clinton Campaign. Fascinating stuff - including the news that "top Clinton campaign staffers" regularly referred to Hillary as A Bitch.In fact, they adopted the unofficial campaign slogan "maybe she's a bitch because she's so competent!" True story.Gotta go now - running out to buy the Boston Globe (et. al.), read my e-mail from NPR (et. al.), so I can see their apologies...and of course their stories damning the Top Clinton Staffers, her closest day-to-day associates, for regularly calling Hillary, as I always have, and do, A Bitch.Schweet Vindication!It's so fun being right.Excelsior!JS
JAYLY NEWS.....On The Campaign AS 2008 BEJING OLYMPICS CLOSE, AL-QUEIDA ANNOUNCES IT WILL SPONSOR ITS OWN OLYMPIC TEAM UNDER THE AL-QUEIDA FLAG IN LONDON, 2012 AN OLYMPIC TEAM OF "JIHADIST ISMALIC WARRIORS".ASKED FOR COMMENT, BARACK OBAMA SAID TODAY "IF AL-QUEIDA FIELDS AN OLYMPIC TEAM, AMERICA MUST ACCEPT THAT, AND WE MUST TREAT THEM WITH THE RESPECT OF ANY OTHER NATIONAL TEAM, IN THE OLYMPIC SPIRIT."(Okay, I made this up....but you found it believable, right?)
Exactly.
Excelsior!
JS
JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign Meet the Press, R.I.P. Did you see/hear it?What a Digrace.I know Tim Russert did not play Softball.Tom Brokaw Does.I know Tim Russert did not believe Meet the Press was a forum for televised sex acts.Tom Brokaw Does.Not since Monica Lewinsky last visited the Oval Office has one democrat serviced another like Brokaw did Caroline Kennedy - and on a Sunday morning, no less!.It was embarrassing to watch, and an affront to the institution of Meet the Press, NBC News, Journalism, and the memory of Tim Russert - who always endeavored to honor those traditions.Did Brokaw and Kennedy light up a cigarette after the "interview"?Oh - wait - tobacco (as opposed to propaganda) is not allowed on television, right?From Meet the Press to Press the Meat.Excelsior!JS
JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign SUNDAY POINTERS:1. "AS WHITE CATHOLICS GO..."...So go American Presidential Elections, period.THE MAJORITY WHITE CATHOLIC VOTE ALWAYS GOES WITH THE WINNER.As of today, McCain is beating Obama among White Catholics by double digits, 12%.2. ONLY HALF OF HILLARY CLINTON VOTERS SUPPORT OBAMA...AND ONE IN FIVE SAY OUTRIGHT THEY WILL VOTE FOR McCAIN.If these numbers remain remotely similar, Obama can't win.3. MITT HAPPENS? As the Electoral Map sits today - and is most likely to remain - if McCain wins MICHIGAN he wins the election.More than Any Candidate in either party, MITT ROMNEY is in a very strong position to deliver a state: MICHIGAN (and Michigan Democrats have already admitted this.)For this and other key reasons, to win McCAIN MUST PICK ROMNEY!4. DEM CONVENTION BOUNCE - OR BUST?In forty years, no Dem has emerged from their national party convention with less than a 16 (and as high as 30) Point Bounce.Watch this closely.Excelsior!JS
JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign FIVE REASONS TO OPPOSE JOE BIDEN...AND OBAMA:1. BIDEN WAS THE LEADER IN SMEARING JUDGE BORK AND ALL OTHER REPUBLICAN JUDGES.2. BIDEN IS LAP DOG OF LABOR UNIONS, RADICAL WOMEN'S GROUPS.3. BIDEN IS A KEY SUPPORTER OF QUOTAS, AFFIRMATIVE ACTION, AND OTHER RADICAL RACIAL POLICIES.4. BIDEN SUPPORTS OPEN BORDERS, AMNESTY AND CITIZENSHIP FOR ALL ILLEGAL CRIMINAL ALIENS.5. BIDEN IS ONE OF THE MOST CONSISTENTLY LEFT-WING LIBERAL MEMBERS OF CONGRESS, WHO SUPPORTS HIGHER TAXES AND BIGGER GOVERNMENT.More coming....Excelsior!JTS
JAYLY NEWS...On The CampaignHere are the Big Questions as we head into Monday's Dem Convention:* WHY DIDN'T OBAMA CHOOSE HILLARY? WHAY DID HE ANNOUNCE SHE WAS NEVER CONSIDERED? HOW DOES HE JUSTIFY REJECTING THE PERSON WITH 50% OF THE DEM VOTE, WHO COULD MOST HELP HIM WIN?* WILL DEMS COME TOGETHER ON TICKET - OR WILL HILLARY'S HELLIONS HURT OBAMA? (floor demonstrations? attacks on Obama?) * WHEN WILL HILLARY STRIKE (she makes a nice speech in a few days - then starts her 2012 Pres Campaign by doing all she can to make sure Obama loses.)* WILL THE "RE-CREATE '68" PROTEST DO ANY DAMAGE, MAKE ANY NEWS? OR WILL IT, LIKE EVERYTHING ELSE, BE A CHEAP EMBARRASSING MODERN VERSION OF A REAL POLITICAL RIOT?* WILL BIDEN SCREW UP AS SOON AS THIS WEEK'S CONVENTION?* HOW SIGNIFICANT IS (AND WILL THE MEDIA IGNORE) THE LATEST WALL STREET JOURNAL POLL THAT ASKS & ANSWERS THE QUESTION:Q: "WHO IS QUALIFIED TO BE COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF?"A: McCAIN 53%, OBAMA 25% (?) (!)More to follow, day + night, the next 70 days....Excelsior!JS
JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign Sunday Boston Globe Page 1 Headline: "Foreign Policy got Biden VP nod"Sunday New York Times Page 1 Headline: "Obama Selects Biden, Adding Foreign Policy Expertise.."TRANSLATION: BARACK OBAMA HAS NO FOREIGN POLICY EXPERIENCE , AND THUS IS UNQUALIFIED TO BE PRESDIDENT AND COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF - ESPECIALLY IN WARTIME AND INTERNATIONAL TERROR.Obama's choice of Biden both proves and admits Obama needs to hire a "consultant" for the defense of the United States.More coming...Excelsior!JTS
JAYLY NEWS....ON THE CAMPAIGN....Liberals in and out of the Media have always been blind to the bias with which they report the news. It's our job to continue to see what they cannot - which will happen here every day of this campaign, and beyond, e.g.:1. National Public Radio, Saturday, Aug 23, 4:00p hour:"Barack Obama picked Sen Joe Biden to provide foreign policy experience some say Obama lacks.""SOME"?"SAY"?Obama's foreign policy experience being entirely limited to twice having breakfasted in an International House of Pancakes, not SOME but ALL rational persons know this; and they do not SAY it but OBSERVE the FACT Obama has NO FOREIGN POLICY EXPERIENCE.2. National Public Radio <+ Multiple Media> Sunday, Aug 24:Joe Biden plagarized a speech by a British politician and, as a result, was forced to withdraw from the 1988 Pres campaign.Reportedly, Biden had a few times credited the original speaker----but ususally did not, and certainly did not on the occasion he was caught and shamed from the race.When NPR broadcasts the audio of Biden giving the infamous plagarized speech, guess which version they play?That's right: the rare, honest, sanitized version in which Biden credits the source -NOT the speech that caused him scandal.Orwell lives! (On NPR.)Excelsior!JTS
So here I am listening to my friend Michele McPhee, and she astutle wonders aloud "Will Hillary drop some bomb on Yo-Bomba in Denver?" Great Point.Well, Hillary's Nuclear Midnight Revenge may or may not occur during next week's Dem Convention - but she will drop the Bomb(s).Out of revenge? Perhaps.But, more constructively (i.e. destructively), TO DESTORY YO-BAMA'S CHANCES IN NOVEMBER AND MAKE HERSELF THE LEAD DEM CANDIDATE FOR 2012!You Know this is coming.You Know Hillary has been plotting her 2012 Resurrection strategy for Weeks.You know she isn't going away.But, first, she needs to make sure Yo-Bama doesn't win in November.YO-BOMBS AWAY!!!Excelsior!JTS
Yo-Bama's Hillary problem over?Think Hillary fan(atic)s will be mollified by Yo-Bama's Joe Biden pick?Think again.For weeks now, Clintonistes have known in their hearts that Hillary's chances at VP were poor to non-existent - but being pessimistic about it and actually being slapped in the face with it are different.And slapped was Hillary: YO-BAMA NEVER EVEN CONSIDERED CLINTON...AND HIS CAMPAIGN TOLD EVERYBODY SHE WAS NEVER CONSIDERED!How can we assume this plays with Hillary's dedicated brigadiers?I assume they will be angry. Angry enough to jump ship, i.e. not vote for McCain, but take a walk, stay home on election day. Maybe even angry enough to make a nationally-televised fuss at the Dem convention?Yo-Bama needs Hillary's supporters. And so he slapped her and them.May they slap back hard.Excelsior!JTS
B+B:As well you might imagine, it is quite a challenge to maintain humility under these circumstances. Yes, I nailed the BIDEN pick (last night with Michele McPhee, Friday a.m. on Imus, Thursday - one day prior to the NY Times - on this blog site, not to mention for the past several weeks on radio) AND the fact that Obama would leak it to NBC NEWS, prior to the great "insider text/e-mails" - to capture that network's huge Friday night Oylmpic audience.In any case, if we've been together for a while, this is no surprise to you.Here's the Biden Bottom Line:Plus Side: Tough, smart, Irish-Catholic guy with honest working-class roots (as astutely christined by pal/colleague Michele McPhee "a political Tim Russert"), who may be the most experienced foreign policy member of US Gov't. Wicked good campaigner. Good personal story. Second-best (next to H Clinton) choice for Yo-Bama - but a very strong one. Would be a strong Vice President.Down Side: BY CHOOSING BIDEN (for his foreign policy experience), OBAMA HAS JUST VALIDATED THAT HE IS UNQUALIFIED HIMSELF TO BE PRESIDENT (i.e. "I don't know foreign policy, so I have hired a consultant who does.").SORRY - ONE DOES NOT, CAN NOT, DELEGATE THE JOB OF COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF----WE VOTE FOR A PRESIDENT, NOT HIS CONSULTANT.P.S. Joe Biden stood next to Yo-Bama just weeks ago and said "I stand by my statement that Obama is not ready to be President of the United States."ALSO: To Yo-Bama's left-wing and younger (i.e. most rabid) core supporters, Joe Biden - 30 years an establishment politician in Wash DC - IS THE OPPOSITE OF "CHANGE".The Media, of course, will extend to Biden the customary non-adversarial fellatio...BUT BIDEN (his record, his statements while campaigning v. Obama, his soon-to-be-many-more gaffes) WILL GIVE MCcAIN PLENTY OF OPPORTUNITIES TO ATTACK THE DEM TICKET.As afforementioned, I am disappointed Biden is the choice, because he is a good candidate who will help Yo-Bama more than hurt him.ALL THE MORE REASON NOW McCAIN MUST CHOOSE MITT ROMNEY.More coming....
Excelsior!
JTS
On the Campaign...Okay - as presumably we shall know tomorrow morning the identity of Yo-Bama's VP pick, here's a presumably final thought on the matter of the moment:To reiterate: Were I advising Yo-Bama THERE IS NO QUESTION THE BEST CHOICE IS HILLARY CLINTON. In my professional opinion, choosing Hillary blows the campaign open for Yo-Bama and leaves McCain in the dust.I appreciate - better than most - the profound downsides of a Clinton(s) as an actual Vice President.But as a CANDIDATE, she surpasses everybody in the potential to help elect Obama, Period.But, as I say, I am virtually alone in believing this. So say it isn't Hillary...Then it must be Biden.Or not.In any case, here's the wild (i.e. brilliant) guess that motivates my perhaps final blog for this, my final summer vacation day of 2008:My guess is this: if Yo-Bama breaks his VP story tonight, I predict One Television Network will scoop all the others.I predict if the story breaks tonight, NBC News (and/or MSNBC) will first breal the story.Know why?If Yo-Obama is waiting for Friday night - normally the death valley of the weekly news cycle (given the choice, one announces only one's indictment on a Friday evening, as nobody is watching) - it is because of the OLYPMICS.....as in a huge Friday night, late August, vacation, stay-at-home, TV audience.There is only One Thing we we will be watching: THE OLYMPICS.Thus: my theory is that if the story breaks tonight, NBC will first have it....BECAUSE OBAMA CUT A DEAL WITH THEM TO HAVE IT FIRST, TO REACH THEIR HUGE OLYMPICS TV AUDIENCE.Am I nuts?Quite possibly.But - if NBC first has this YoBama VP story - PLEASE RECALL WHERE YOU HEARD IT FIRST.Check in tomorrow morning, and throughout the weekend will you?Excelsior!JS
On the Campaign...As we wait on Yo-Bama to announce his #2, two late names have suddenly been floated: Conggressman Chet Baker of Texas, and former General Wesley Clark.On Clark, I'd say No. He Does offer military credentials - a form of foreign policy credentials...but not the same thing and, being military in nature, not wildy popular among the radical left-wing base of Yo-Bama's party. Also: Clark is not a practiced politician, and has demonstrated a propensity for impolitic and just plain stupid remarks. Clark is not a crazy pick....but I am guessing he's not it.As for Congressman Baker....Very Interesting.The obvious response to him is WHO?! ------but wait: Baker is Nancy (aka "Bella" Pelosi's favorite. She recently named him on national TV, actually saying she 'Hoped he'd be the VP nominee".So what?Here's what: remember how Obama clinched the Dem race when he was fighting tooth and nail with Hillary? When he seemed like he was sinking? What saved him? Answer: the perfectly-timed, leaked announcements by Dem SuperDelagates that they were going with Obama. That saved his bacon.And who controls the Dem SuperDelagates?Yes, Bella Pelosi.So, what Peolsi wants - VP wise - Pelosi gets?Not a lock...but why else would she go out in front on national TV with Baker's name - a total unknown?Was the (i.e. her) VP fix in the moment Pelosi swung the Supers for Obama?Maybe, maybe not.But again, I am going to guess No.I don't think even the heavy hand of Pelosi/Dem party leaders can persuade Obama he can win with an unknown - even if he might carry elector-rich Texas.The smartest best for Yo-Bama remains Hillary, though I know I am alone on that one.The next-smartest is Joe Biden. Biden would, on balance, be a winner for Obama.I just don't know if Obama agreees.More as news breaks.....Excelsior!JS
On the Campaign...Obama has chosen his VP running mate; we are merely waiting for it to leak to the media.Both candidates need to fix major shortcomings with their VP picks.Yo-Bama needs someone to give him Foreign Policy Chops. If he has picked an empty suit as light as himself, he has squandered his opportunity and maybe his chances.As the New York Times writes today (as I wrote yesterday, and previewed several weeks ago on-the-air), Delaware Senator Joe Biden is the only prominent candidate who fills this bill.And because he does, Obama foes (like Me), ought to fear Biden: he is tough, accomplished, and has more foreign policy experience than any other five people in politics.Yes, he is a liberal...but doesn't really play like one.And, Yes, he has a long history of foot-in-mouth disease, including at least one infamous case of plagarism that caused him to quit his first Pres campaign...but the media will love him and give him a clean slate.Next only to Hillary Clinton, Biden could help turn Obama's campaign around. Let's hope Yo-Bama has not shown the political acumen to have picked Joe Biden.More as news breaks....Excelsior!JS
ON THE CAMPAIGN....As to Obama's VP choice:Just as McCain is truly boxed by having to choose a running mate who will shore up his weak flank (in his case, the conservative base) - meaning Mitt Romney - so too is Yo-Bama boxed: he is kidding himself if he thinks he has the luxury of a left-wing soul mate. He does not.Yo-Bama needs to protect his weak flank (i.e. Zero Foreign Policy Experience) by choosing a runnig mate who loans him some international chops.I cannot tell you how a communist thinks (ask my buddies Jim and/or Marjory ) - but I can tell you what this commie Ought To Do: Joe Biden.Among the various fools being publicly considered (excepting H Clinton, who is Satan, but no fool - and who would put Obama over the top), only Joe Biden gives Yo-Bama this Foreign Policy boost.BIDEN GIVES OBMAMA VITAL FOREIGN POLICY CREDENTIALS.Thus, other than H Clinton, only Biden worries me.More as news and my brilliant creative juices evolve,from Nantucket but back Monday,Excelsior!JS
ON THE CAMPAIGN....<8/21>To the extent the Pres campaign can be conducted in a National Vacuum - i.e. concerning only domestic issues like education, social security, environment, etc. - it helps Yo-Bama.Domestic issues are a level playing field for Yo-Bama, where his inexperience doesn't obtain.But World Events have recently conspired to change the equation: Russia's invasion of Georgia and threatening gestures toward other former Soviet Republics and even eastern Europe REMIND AMERICAN VOTERS THAT WE THERE ARE EVIL, DANGEROUS PEOPLE IN THE WORLD.THESE EVENTS REMIND VOTERS WE HAVE ENEMIES.AND, AS SUCH, WORLD EVENTS MAGNIFY YO-BAMA'S INADEQUACIES - NAMELY, OBMAMA'S FOREIGN POLICY EXPERIENCE IS LIMITED TO HAVING TWICE BREAKFASTED AT AN INTERNATIONAL HOUSE OF PANCAKES.OBAMA = RISKY IN A DANGEROUS WORLD.OBAMA AS COMMANDER IN CHIEF VS. THE RUSSIANS? VS. A NEW COLD WAR? VS. TERRORISTS?NO-BAMA, THANKS.EXCELSIOR!More as news breaks....JS
<1:00p>AS TO McCAIN'S RUNNING MATE...N.B. my prior commentaries, on-air + blog: Historically, VP choices are an endeavor to Win Extra Votes otherwise unavailable to the nominee (i.e. running mates are always picked based on criteria of Demography and/or Ideology and/or Geography).McCAIN DOES NOT, AND NEVER DID, HAVE THE LUXURY OF THIS OPTION. McCAIN'S LIBERAL REPUBLICAN HISTORY HAS ALIENATED THE CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICAN BASE.McCAIN CHOOSING LIEBERMAN OR A PRO-CHOICE/LIBERAL REPUBLICAN RUNNING MATE IS POLITICAL SUICIDE.IF McCAIN'S OWN POLITICAL HISTORY IS INADEQUATE TO ATTRACT INDEPENDENTS, A LIB RUNNING MATE WILL NOT DO IT FOR HIM.A MODERATE/LIBERAL VP PICK GUARANTEES CONSERVATIVES (LIKE ME, AND YOU) STAY HOME ON McCAIN.ONLY BY CHOOSING A VP WHO SATISFIES CONSERVATIVES CAN McCAIN WIN.McCAIN'S VP SELECTION IS ABOUT GALVANIZING (I.E. BRINGING HOME) THE REPUBLICAN/CONSERVATIVE BASE.THIS IS WHY TO WIN McCAIN MUST CHOOSE MITT ROMNEY.MORE TO COME AS NEW BREAKS....JS
John McCain may not Like Mitt Romney, but he'd better Love him.McCain may not want Mitt Romney, but he Needs him.There is no other possible choice McCain might make for VP running mate that would galvanize, energize, excite and turn-out his potential vote.I am frankly pessimistic as to the chances McCain wil do the right/smart thing and pick Mitt.But if he does, McCain can win this thing - and we can have a real Republican Party, Agenda and immediate political future for conservatives.If McCain wants to win, Mitt Happens.Excelsior!JS
On July 31, I wrote in this space that I do not believe Hillary Clinton is politically deceased until I see the body (brutally unappetizing though that thought is).And the current under-performance of the Yo-Bama campaign might force him to produce that body, live, next to him, holding hands aloft as running mates next week.Yes, HRC as a VP would be a colossal problem for YO-Bama. But Yo-Bama may have topped out - especially among white voters - creating a need to break this thing wide open.And nothing is as wide as Hillary.Who else would make this ticket guaranteed Page One news every day until Nov?Would HRC alienate Independents, some Dems, and energize Repubs? Yes.But the blockbuster surprise announcement, Clinton's presence on the ticket, and of course the media orgy accompanying it could be the Only pick that would blow this thing open for Yo-Bama.He doesn't want her on the ticket. He certainly doesn't want her in the White House. He doesn't want to use a food-taster for 4 or 8 years. He doesn't want to suffer Bill.But Yo-Bama Does want to win.Badly enough that he could still put fatso on the ticket.I know, I know...it probably won't happen.But it still could.These blogs resume as of today.Hear you on the radio Monday, B+B.Excelsior!JS
No, B+B, not a new S&M sex tape but, rather, a significant political fact from this past week: THE "OBAMA/PARIS HILTON/BRITNEY SPEARS/CELEBRITY" TV COMMERCIAL HURT YOBAMA - AND DAMAGED HIM AS BADLY AS ANY SINGLE TV SPOT HAS IN MODERN U.S. POLITICAL HISTORY.In my 25+ years in national politics & media, only a few times has there been a TV ad with the potential to change the dynamic of the campaign - and this is one of them.The reason is that THIS ATACK CUTS TO THE HEART OF OBAMA'S GREATEST VULNERABILITY: HIS INEXPERIENCE, ARROGANCE, CELEBRITY.Of the voters who do not like or have doubts about Obama, this ad hits the sweet spot of their anxities about him. This ad has the result of being clever, visually compelling, and having that precious "AH HA!" quality, whereby viewers say "EXACTLY!"This ad - and general line of attack - places into accessible words and pictures the essence of the most effective criticism of Obama.And it hurt, and it shows: The Obama forces are out in full-force on the weekend talk shows damning the ad as "racist". But the McCain forces are fighting back, and effectively.Because this ad/tactic worked, expect to see a lot more of it, starting right now.McCAIN EVIDENTLY HAS RECOGNIZED THAT HE CAN WIN THIS FIGHT ONLY BY CREATING SERIOUS DOUBTS ABOUT OBAMA.IF HE DRIVES UP OBAMA'S NEGATIVES, HE CAN WIN.THESE NEXT FEW PRE-DEM-CONVENTION WEEKS WILL BE CRUCIAL TO McCAIN'S ATTACK STRATEGY.AS SUCH, THESE NEXT FEW WEEKS WILL LIKELY FEATURE THE KEY PUNCHES AND COUNTER-PUNCHES THAT WILL DETERMINE THE OUTCOME OF THIS RACE.JTSMore tomorrow @3:00-7:00p WTKK 96.9 FM
WHEN A CANDIDATE HAS A BAD WEEK - AND YOBAMA HAS JUST HAD HIS FIRST - THE USUAL, LOGICAL MOVE IS (YOU SHOULD PARDON THE EXPRESSION) "CHANGE"....AS IN "QUICK! CHANGE SOMETHING!"BEHOLD YOBAMA'S FIRST BIG FLIP FLOP: BECAUSE McCAIN HAS BEEN WINNING VERY BIG POLITICAL POINTS - OF COURSE AT YOBAMA'S EXPENSE - ON THE "DRILL HERE FOR OIL NOW!" ISSUE, YOBAMA HAS FLIP-FLOPPED 180 DEGREES, NOW FAVORING THE McCAIN POSITION.YOBAMA HAD NO CHOICE. THE "DRILL HERE, DRILL NOW" POSITION ENJOYS MASSIVE SUPPORT AMONG VOTERS AND IT WAS HURTING YOBAMA.AND THAT IS THE STORY OF THIS PAST WEEK: THE FIRST WEEK YOBAMA HAS LOST, McCAIN WON, AND YOBAMA WAS FORCED TO FLIP-FLOP TO STOP THE BLEEDING. IF McCAIN IS ABLE (AD HE MAY NOT BE) TO PUT TOGETHER A FEW MORE WEEKS LIKE THE LAST ONE, FORCING YOBAMA INTO A FEW MORE KEY RETREATS...AND McCAIN WILL BE IN THIS RACE.WATCH FOR MORE AGGRESIVE LANGUAGE AND ATTACKS FROM BOTH CANDIDATES THIS WEEK.IT WILL CERTAINLY MAKE FOR GREAT RADIO (i.e. 3-7p, weekdays, WTKK 96.9 FM).JTS
B+B:The current "controversial" - and "racist" - McCain campaign television commercial criticizing YObama as an international celebrity but empty suit, a bimbo, Is No Mistake.While nobody was paying much attention, the McCain campaign has recruited some key new players, all of whom come straight out of the Karl Rove School of Attack.Plus: the (correct) thinking at the top of the McCain campaign is now that this campaign is REFERENDUM ON YOBAMA - nothing more, nothing less: McCAIN CAN WIN THIS CAMPAIGN ONLY BY DRIVING UP YOBAMA'S NEGATIVES.Thus, so long as this current McCain braintrust remains in control, expect to see a FAR MORE AGGRESSIVE TONE AND PLAN OF ATTACK.As such, there is Hope - hope that at least 51% of American voters will learn enough about Yobama's nauseating beliefs/values/associations/inexperiencethat he can be defeated.N.B. There is a prospective danger in this strategy: Undecided Voters (moderate Repubs, Independents) are put-off by the fear of being called, or associated with, a "racist"...this is why the Obama campaign will respond to every criticism with charges that McCain is Playing The Race Card. Of course it is Yobama who has played the Race Card since day one - but the media whores, playing Monica Lewinsky to Yobama's Clinton will continue to validate anything Yobama claims. Bottom line: McCAIN MUST ATTACK, BUT BE CAREFUL TO DODGE THE "RACISM" CHARGE - lest he alienate the swing voters he needs to win. McCAIN CANNOT WIN THIS RACE - BUT McCAIN CAN STILL CAUSE YOBAMA TO LOSE IT.TORA!TORA!TORA!(and I do not mean the Hebrew good book.)JTS