Monday, October 6, 2008

New Blog

You can now read The Jayly News at this address http://www.wtkk.biz/blogs/jayseverin.

Friday, September 5, 2008

McCAIN BOMBS

JAYLY NEWS.........Friday a.m.


Were Sarah Palin a broadway show she'd be My Fair Lady, and you couldn't get a ticket - she would, after her opening night, be Sold Out.

Were John McCain a broadway show he'd be Death of a Salesman, and you couldn't get a ticket - because, after his opening night, he would be Closed.

John McCain's speech was poorly written, poorly delivered and largely poorly received - a snoozer, a bore, a bomb, REM TV.
Had it not been for the Enthusiasm Momentum carried over from Palin's speech, all in that convention hall would have in a coma. (And P.S.: the wild - virtually only - appaluse, in the final 60 seconds, was obviously choreographed in advance - it had Noting to do with what McCain was saying. Watch the clip; it is painful.)

Imagine if now, with the Palin Convention behind them, all they had to offer was The John McCain Show? The only way to sell it would be "Survivor 2008: Can McCain Tread Water for 61 Days and Live?"

Republicans must know this.

NOW see how inspired - and necessary - a pick was Sarah Palin?

She is a Life-Preserver for McCain.
The question is whether she can be a Life-Saver.


Excelsior!

JS

Thursday, September 4, 2008

THE CLINTON CONUNDRUM

JAYLY NEWS....Thursday p.m.

The Sarah Palin nuclear Fall-out extends even to the Clintons.

Operating under the ironclad assumption that Hillary has already taken aim at 2012, what does she do?

B.P. (Before Palin), Clinton was preparing to sabotage Obama, her surest way to the 2012 Dem nomination.

But now, an Obama loss puts Sarah Palin, in theory, in the White House for up to 16 years.

Conversely, if Hillary works to help Obama win, then she must line up again, in theory, matched directly against a prospective Sarah Palin presidential candidacy in 2012.

So what's a Lady Socialist to do?

My guess: stick with plotting an Obama loss, providing Clinton her quickest potential route to another presidential candidacy.

JS

THREE FACTORS THAT MATTER

JAYLY NEWS....Thursday p.m.

For your consideration:


(1) The principal reason the delegates - and others of us patriotic - are so jazzed by last night's convention events is that, as Pat Buchanan said on MSDNC, "WE NOW HAVE ONE OF OUR OWN UP THERE."

Plus: those in-Obama's-face speeches by Mitt, Rudy and Sarah were DEEPLY PARTISAN, ATTACKING OBAMA/BASIC LIBERAL PREMISES, AND DEFENDING CONSERVATIVE VALUES.

Its about time.


(2) As presented here one week ago...As we enjoy Sarah Palin, be aware of one great irony: IT IS OBAMA HIMSELF (by failing to choose Hillary) WHO MADE SARAH PALIN POSSIBLE.
OBAMA PICKED SARAH PALIN - and now is threatened by his own hand.

(3) The left-wing media (i.e. all of it but talk radio) have declared all-out Nuclear War on the Repubs and McCain ticket.
THERE ARE NO MORE RULES OF MEDIA ENGAGEMENT: THE NEW STANDARD OF JOURNALISM IS DEVOID OF OBJECTIVITY...THE NEW NEWS STANDARD IS MSNBC (i.e. no standard).

Excelsior!

JS


SARAH OR MITT?.

JAYLE NEWS.....THURSDAY p.m.

Here's one thing about Sarah Palin I don't like so much.
And, if you are a Mitt Romney fan, as I am, you won't like it either.

It kills me to think this, let alone have to talk about it, but here it is:
With the overnight emergence of Sarah Palin as a conservative darling, who is now likely to be the favorite for the next Republican nomination, Mitt or Sarah?

Consider: if McCain wins, Sarah Palin is Vice President, for one or two terms. Is it not logical when the big seat opens up, she will go for it? Would she not by definition be the favorite?

If McCain loses, Sarah Palin is not Vice President - but she becomes, almost automatically, a 2012 favorite, right?

Point being, Win or Lose, is not Sarah Palin likely to be in a position - at least equal to Mitt - to claim "favorite" status for the next Republican campaign?

No Question: The Question for us Mitt loyalists is just how profoundly will McCain's selection of Sarah Palin impact our guy's national political stock?

JS




SARAH PALIN'S OPENING NIGHT

JAYLY NEWS.......Thursday a.m.

First thing First: as a prominent show business agent said in reviewing Sarah Palin's performance Wednesday evening, "SHE CRUSHED!"
And truly she did.

But even more enjoyable than Palin's mastery of stage last night was the hilarious glumness and nastiness of the reactions by virtually all the "journalists" on TV: Keith Olberwellian, Chrissy Matthews, Gene Obama Robertson, Rachel Mad-Ow, et. al. all looked and sounded like children who had just lost their best friend.
And maybe they have: little Barack.

"SHE WAS MEAN!"
"SHE WAS NASTY!"
"SHE WAS SARCASTIC!"
"SHE WAS NEGATIVE!"

Exactly.

Translation: she was EFFECTIVE.

Sarah Palin obviously has Democrats scared to death - the most compelling evidence she was a good choice.

However...now comes the hard part: Sarah Palin must now face the Media Assasins without a script, teleprompter, and protection. She will be out there on her own, cross-examined by hardened media killers - every one of whom is seeking a career-making opportunity to be the one who brings her down in flames.

This is why it will take circa 10 days more to know how Sarah Palin truly plays: the first round of post-convention polling, plus her first round of full-contact scrimmages with her sworn blood enemies (MSNBC, CNN, Boston Globe, NY Times, Wash Post, CBS, ABC, et. al.)

That said though, Sarah Palin's Opening Night was a Smash...in the face of Democrats.

Excelsior!

JS

Wednesday, September 3, 2008

"DOES SARAH HAVE WHAT IT TAKES?"

JAYLY NEWS............

"GOLLY, DOES SARAH PALIN HAVE WHAT IT TAKES TO BE VP?"

This is the mightily disingenuous question the media are asking - after several days of Hammering Sarah Palin and her 17 year old daughter, family, etc.

As previously stated in this space, the personal smear by Obama/Dems vs. Palin is unprecedented - and designed to place stress on her such that she makes a mistake, cries, has an outburst, etc.

Imagine the WorldWide Media smearing your child - and You unable to do anything about it?

Then, under extraordinary stress and fatigue with the eys of the world upon this young mother, she ascends the stage tonight.

WHILE THOSE WHO ARE DOING THIS TO HER SMILE AND ASK
"GOLLY, DOES SARAH PALIN HAVE WHAT IT TAKES?".

JOURNALISTS.
RHYMES WITH "WHORES".


JS

WHAT THE DEMS ARE DOING/NEXT

JAYLY NEWS....Tuesday 2:00p

The Obama/Dem smear attack against Sarah Palin has several objectives, including:

1. Smother and kill any positive McCain message emerging from Repub convention.

2. Build stress on Sarah Palin such that she cracks (cries, makes an outburst, loses temper, etc.).

3. (Ready to know the future?) Create and sustain such negative media chaos surrounding Sarah Palin that Obama/Dems can change message to: "Palin has become such a major negative distraction from the issues and this important campaign that for the good of the country and her party she ought to withdraw, or McCain must ask her to step down from ticket."


PREDICTION: OBAMA CAMPAIGN/DEMS WILL USE AS REASON THAT PALIN SHOULD WITHDRAW THE CHARACTER ASSASINATION AND MEDIA DISTRACTION THEY THEMSELVES CHOREOGRAPHED, EXACTLY TO THIS PURPOSE...AND "JOURNALISTS" (rhymes with "whores") WILL CEASELESSLY PRINT AND BROADCAST THE EXTORTION NOTE.


JS

MSNBC EMPLOYS NAZI SYMPATHIZER?

JAYLY NEWS.....Wednesday 11:30a

There has never, Never, in the history of American politics, been a national smear campaign like that now being run against Governor Sarah Palin by the Barack Obama campaign and others of the American Communist Movement.

The latest and most appalling form this has taken is the assertion by the Obama campaign that "Sarah Pain supported a Nazi Sympathizer".

The "Nazi Sympathizer" in question is, evidently, political icon/two-time candidate for President of the United States/author/journalist Patrick J. Buchanan (* full disclosure: proudly, a good friend and former client of mine).

As Mr. Buchanan's most visible work of the moment is a senior on-air political analyst for MSNBC, the pressing question is:

DOES MSNBC EMPLOY AN ON-AIR NAZI SYMPATHIZER?
CHRIS MATTHEWS AND KEITH OLBERMAN HAVE A NAZI SYMPATHIZER ON THEIR PROGRAMS EVERY NIGHT?

IF NOT, IS NOT MSNBC OBLIGATED OUT OF BASIC DECENCY TO STATE PAT BUCHANAN IS NOT SO?

MSNBC: PUT UP OR SHUT UP.

Excelsior!

JS

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

McCAIN'S "CHANGE" OFFENSIVE

THE JAYLY NEWS....Tuesday p.m.


"Change", thy name(s) art McCain/Palin!

Behold the brilliant jiu-jitsu the Republican ticket is fashioning:

America wants Change.
Obama offers Change - but SCARY, RADICAL CHANGE (see: William Ayers, Rev Wright, Miclehe Obama, et. al.).
Sensing this, McCain - already well established as Maverick (pre-Change Change), brings onto the stage Sarah Palin, a reformer, a Mom, a hunter, a real Feminist.
Everything about McCain-Palin says Change, as in "Reform".
Obama stills says Change, as in "Revolution".
McCain, co-opting Change - right our from under Obama's turned-up nose.

Which Change do you believe will capture 51% of the vote (in America)?

62 Days is From Here To Eternity.
But this Change just might work.


Excelsior!
JS







THE MEDIA'S QUINTUPLE BYPASS STANDARD

THE JAYLY NEWS


N.B. The John Edwards adultery story circulated prominently for more than one year on the web and in supermarket tabloids.
Though demonstrably true, Edwards personal, extra-curricular sex life was, during this entire period, ajudged to fall outside (i.e. "below") the standards and baliwick of "Journalism".

Conversely, the demure accusation that Governor Sarah Palin's new baby had - by way of a monstrous deceit - been borne by her own daughter went from Left Wing Blog to CNN Prime Time in hours.

Journalist, heal thyself!



Excelsior!

JS

CAMPAIGN BY THE NUMBERS

JAYLY NEWS...Monday Sept 2

As this fight heads into the final 62 days, consider two sets of numbers (both previously presented here):

1. SIZE MATTERS.

In 40 years, no Dem has emerged from his convention with a Poll Bounce smaller than 16 points (and as high as 30).

Obama's, at 8, is half the smallest-ever...hence Obama has set a modern record for post-convention bounce, DOWNWARD.

2. NOT LIBERAL

The most recent reputable national polling on the fundamental political attitudes of American voters asks them "Do you consider yourself Somewhat or Very Liberal, Somewhat or Very Conservative, or Moderate?"

Result:
"Moderate" 2%
"Liberal" 34%
"Conservative" 62%

U.S. VOTERS, SELF-DESCRIBED "CONSERVATIVE" BY 2-1.

(This is why the Dem argument "more people are registering as Dems than as Repubs" is virtually insignificant.)

Excelsior!

JS

Monday, September 1, 2008

FOUR CANDIDATES AND A BABY

JAYLY NEWS....Labor (unions are the mafia) Day

The Palin Baby News will not hurt McCain ticket - especially if, as reported this p.m., the McCain campaign had advance knowledge of the pregnancy, and chose Sarah Palin despite this blemish.

Palin's decision to have her Down's Syndrome child combined with the Palin daughter's decision to marry her boyfriend and have this child far outweighs the "moral outrage" on the part of a very few religious zealots.

Plus: a high school senior couple marrying - and even having a child - is not a rarity in much of Alaska - indeed, in much of "fly-over country".

Dems will overplay this and suffer backlash.

Gov Palin may yet cause McCain to regret this choice...but not today.


Excelsior!

JS

EXPERIENCE: ADVANTAGE REPUBLICANS

JAYLY NEWS....Labor (unions are extortion rackets) Day


THERE IS NO RATIONAL QUESTION
THAT GOVERNOR SARAH PALIN
IS FAR BETTER QUALIFIED
TO BE PRESIDENT
THAN IS OBAMA.

And Palin is only running for VICE President.

Experience?
Game, Set, Match, McCain Ticket.



Excelsior!

JS

HURRICANE POLITICS

JAYLY NEWS....Labor (unions are organized crime) Day Edition

HURRICANE POLITICS

1. MEDIA: Is there really anything TV, esp Cable TV, loves More, esp on a low-viewership holiday weekend, than the prospect of extraordinary WEATHER?
KILLER STORMS? KATRINA II!!!!!
Lucy Liu just out of the shower doesn't look as good to me as that swirling hurricane eye graphic does to MSNBC.

And, as is so often the case, this one appears a Bust.
So far (as of Monday morning) it is - HOLD ON -----
WINDY AND RAINY IN NEW ORLEANS!!! YIKES!!

The coverage - esp on MSNBC - is ludicrous: Anchor David Shuster (to reporter on scene) "Are you seeing any debris?" "YES! I SEE SOME GARBAGE CANS BLOWING INTO THE STREET! AND A PIECE OF CLOTH RIPPED OFF A SIGN!!!! (This dialogue actually occurred 8:30a Monday)

It is hilarious watching cable - esp MSNBC - struggle to make a rainy day into A KILLER HURRICANE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

2. Dems v Repubs:

New Orleans is totally evacuated and organized chiefly because a REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR is in (competent) charge this time, as opposed to Democrat BOO-HOO BLANCO.

Idiot Mayor Ray Nagin (who was all over Ntl TV predicting a "Category Five Storm of the Century") has someone to follow, as he is incapable of leading anything. If this imbecile had evacuated his citizens last time, he would have saved thousands of lives----and NOBODY IS HOLDING HIM THE LEAST BIT RESPONSIBLE FOR IT, not even a mention.

Mayor Nagin's warning, flashed around the world (I heard it on BBC from London) included the statesman-like admonition to New Orleans' residents that they "GET THEIR BUTTS OUT OF HERE".
This, I know, is cute, down-home, "keeping it real" to some.
To civilized persons, such language by a public official under these circumstances is compelling evidence of the degradation of American politics in general, and the fact Ray "Duh" Nagin is an ill-bred moron in particular.

3. Repub Convention

By greatly curtailing convention activities Monday, the Repubs will score points for demonstrating respectful deference to prospective "Victims of Gustav" (i.e. several people will get wet shoes)....and deftly get out of having Bush & Cheney appear at/associated with the convention and the McCain ticket - the one thing Dems most needed to have come out of Minnea-noplace.

4. Hurricane Sarah

You want MAJOR STORM?
SARAH PALIN IS A MAJOR STORM: HURRICANE SARAH!
There will almost certainly be major damage from Hurricane Sarah - damage to Obama.


Sunday, August 31, 2008

GUSTAV REPUBLICAN BLESSING IN DISGUISE?

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

So, add to the list of calamitous republican misfortunes hurricane Gustav - disrupting their national convention, reminding people of Katrina - right?

Not so fast.

Consider this: the Dems consistently strongest indictment against McCain - he represents "Bush's 3rd term"..."too close to Bush/Cheney", etc.

And this kiss-of-death political relationship could not but be underscored and magnified by President Bush and VP Cheney scheduled appearances at the Republican Ntl Convention.

Damning Dilemma for the republicans: you can't live (i.e. win) with Bush & Cheney, but neither can you live without (i.e. disinvite) them at this week's national convention.

Enter Gustav!

This Meteorlogical Marvel strikes with timing such that the Republicans certainly cannot safely indulge in the usual silly convention conventions, right?

Too bad for the Republicans?

A BLESSING FOR THE REPUBLICANS.

Now, the one thing John McCain needed but couldn't have openly wished for (and could never have attempted to pull off) - both Bush & Cheney Not appearing at the RNC - is going to happen...instead a touchy-feely tribute to the hurricane victims...and the McCain and the Republian Party will look good and humane and hurricane-sensitive in the bargain!

And thus does John McCain, his new running mate, and his party get to present to the nation the face they party they Wish to send - not the one the apperance of Bush & Cheney would box them into sending.

Any weeping being done by Republican Strategists over the loss of Bush & Cheney is Louisanna-specific: CROCODILE TEARS!

Excelsior!

JS

Now

Saturday, August 30, 2008

CHRIS MATTHEWS LOSES IT

JAYLY NEWS SATURDAY AUG 30

The most compelling evidence John McCain's choice of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin greatly worries Democrats is observing various members of the liberal news media go totally over the edge.

I don't mean merely transparently and grotesquely biased - we see that every day, most especially on MSNBC: Mika Brezhinski (obvioulsy the dumbest human being ever to appear on television, including animal stories), Chris Matthews and the undisputed king of cable TV whackos, Keith Olberwellian have long-abandoned any pretense of objectivity, professional bearing, fairness and, with it, Journalism.

No, I mean stark, raving mad. I mean when like watching a car wreck. Like you can't believe what you've just seen.

Such was the case last evening (Friday Aug 29) when on MSNBC Chris Matthews gave Olberman a real run for the Joe McCarthy/Howard Beal award by becoming literally apoplectic at the news of Sarah Palin.

Viewers must earnestly have thought Matthews was almost surely suffering a stroke: his eyes were poppping out of his fat head, his face was not just red but impurpled, spittle was forming in the corners of his mouth, and there wasn't a trace of irony or humor in his vindictive tirade.

I mean, I know Matthews has just said "to hell with my critics" (for admitting to his being totally in the bag for Obama)...but Chris Matthews acted like a crazy man.

Then it got worse (i.e. Really Good).

After wildly screeching his objections to Sarah Palins resume, John McCain's nefarious motives and the general evilness of Republicans, Matthews spewed at his GUEST AND COLLEAGUE (and a man superior to Matthews in terms of intellect, expertise, poliical knowledge and, now obviously, breeding) Pat Buchanan the single most ugly, personal, insulting attack on another person I have ever witnessed on television. (And I am a veteran TV talking head, having made hundreds of appearances with friend and mostly foe, mostly on MSNBC.)

The thesis, as it were, of Matthews' rant was "how is it POSSIBLE someone could be even CONSIDERED for high office if she had once SUPPORTED PAT BUCHANAN?!" (Full disclosure: I workred for Pat Buchanan off and on for years, including his Presidential campaigns.)

Matthews, glowering at an incredulous Buchanan - who could clearly see the host had vacated his faculties - said "YOU MEAN SARAH PALIN COULD BE PICKED EVEN AFTER SUPPORTING THE WORST OF PAT BUCHANAN?!" (A reference to PB's controversial and magnificent convention speech.) This to Mr. Buchanan's face - again, a day-to-day MSNBC colleague, respected author, political figure and former candidate for President of the United States.

Matthews' seizure continued for the entirety of the show. When at the end Pat Buchanan asserted that Sarah Palin's pro-life postion would be a political asset in many areas of the country (this issue and statement seeming to drive Matthews to a glorious new level of screaming, wild-eyed, foaming madness) the host responded like a troubled child "OH YEAH?! YOU JUST GO AND TRY THAT UP WHERE I LIVE AND SEE WHERE IT GETS YOU!"

Maybe poor Chris - whom I've met, and whose work I once admired - simply cannot withstand the mental strain of being dominated and punched around like a skinny cousin on-air by the paranoid bully Olberman.

But let the record show - and the timeless video prove - that on Friday night, August 29, 7-8 p.m., with his hideously inappropriate and ugly personal attack on a colleague, Chris Matthews achieved the truly impressive: he sunk to the lowest level of any host in cable television history.

Perfect for who Chris Matthews - and MSBNC - has become.

Jay Severin






Friday, August 29, 2008

GURU JAY DOES IT AGAIN

JAYLY NEWS...On The Campaign

AS PREDICTED IN THIS SPACE, AND ON THE AIR:

"The political physics of McCain's VP choice require he use it to galvanize his conservative/Republican base."

"...but I do not believe he wants to pick Mit Romney."

Sara Pallin is a very risky choice.
She cannot be seriously considered qualified to be Commander-in-Chief...and thus reomves totally the Inexperience attack v. Obama. Could that cost McCain the election?
Will she make rookie mistakes in the national campaign/media that doom McCain's credibility and electability?

The one prospective upside is that Pallin's conservative beliefs will galvanize the Repub base fr McCain-----and maybe, maybe, attract some Ind and even a few Dem women alienated by the Hilary disappointment?

This is the biggest, most dynamic VP choice in modern American history.

THE QUESTION IS WHETHER PALLIN WILL HELP McCAIN WIN.

Excelsior!

JS

MEDIA, HEAL THYSELF!

JAYLY NEWS....On The Campaign


WELL, SO MUCH FOR THE DEM CONVENTION!

OBAMA WHO??!

Given the intensity and umbrage of the Media vis "a woman on the ticket" when it was Hillary Clinton, HOW WILL THEY TREAT THIS WOMAN (a Republican)?

Is A Woman On The Ticket still a good idea?

Media-wise: could this be a game-changer for McCain?


JS

DANGEROUS REPUBLICAN HYPOCRISY

SARA PALLIN?!
SARA PALLIN??!!

HOW CAN I CRITICIZE DEMOCRATS FOR CLAIMING BARACK OBAMA CAN BE COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF IN WARTIME, WHEN McCAIN PUTS UP A TEENAGED GIRL AS COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF?

IT IS A DANGEROUS GAMBLE AND AN INSULT TO ME THAT MY FAMILY WILL BE SAFE WITH A VP UNQUALIFIED TO BE COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF.
SARA MAY HELP HIM WIN - BUT SHE IS A BAD CHOICE FOR OUR SAFETY.

THIS IS HARRIET MYERS II.

JS